NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	107		Excitement	6.3 [523]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (HOU): +14.2%
Houston Rockets	92		Comeback	3.1 [237]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -23.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	11	72%	0.17	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	12	72%	0.10	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Vin Baker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.03	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.06
Patrick Ewing	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Shammond Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Gary Payton	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	32	39%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	13	56%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	13	71%	0.15	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	18	50%	0.13	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	3	86%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.17	-0.09	-0.03	13	29%	-0.17	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	26.0	16.7	23.4	1.8	26.0	121.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +33.8%

HOU -1.0%

SEA +11.3%

SEA +7.1%

HOU -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	13.6	16.6	15.5	111.5	96.8	100.9
season	15.2	16.3		103.8	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.7		102.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	11.1	13.4	12.2	18.7	13.6
HOU	15.1	17.9	17.8	15.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	86	86	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-4	23	13.2	17.3	-4.15	16.7	15.9	0.77
Desmond Mason	39	39	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	6	3	13.8	13.4	0.44	17.5	16.0	1.52
Rashard Lewis	79	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	-1	17	12.9	16.9	-4.08	16.8	15.6	1.28
Vin Baker	40	40	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	7	1	16.5	11.5	4.96	14.8	17.9	-3.13
Ruben Patterson	67	69	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	0	15	13.9	12.9	1.03	16.4	17.0	-0.51
Brent Barry	76	75	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	10	-5	13.9	12.5	1.31	16.1	18.4	-2.36
Patrick Ewing	55	54	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	6	3	11.7	16.1	-4.47	17.8	15.0	2.71
Shammond Williams	27	25	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	11	-7	14.6	13.2	1.40	17.6	16.2	1.43
Jelani McCoy	11	10	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	25	-35	14.0	13.5	0.47	13.6	16.9	-3.34

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	40	40	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.02	5	-20	25	16.5	16.6	-0.11	12.7	14.2	-1.56
Anthony Miller	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-15	15	11.8	16.9	-5.06	18.0	13.4	4.61
Matt Bullard	25	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-13	11	14.3	17.4	-3.08	11.0	14.4	-3.44
Dan Langhi	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-15	15	15.0	16.7	-1.72	15.6	13.4	2.14
Moochie Norris	27	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-14	13	16.7	16.5	0.16	13.8	13.5	0.35
Hakeem Olajuwon	59	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-4	-7	17.3	15.4	1.93	13.0	14.6	-1.64
Shandon Anderson	70	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-6	-3	16.6	16.7	-0.12	14.8	10.5	4.32
Maurice Taylor	57	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-6	-3	17.4	15.3	2.12	14.0	12.9	1.11
Kenny Thomas	46	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-5	-5	15.4	17.7	-2.24	13.2	13.9	-0.74
Cuttino Mobley	63	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	3	-21	16.9	16.0	0.89	14.1	12.4	1.72
Steve Francis	76	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.01	-20	5	-25	17.1	14.7	2.38	13.2	15.2	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.29,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.26,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, OKC 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.04,0	93.4%
WAS 110, CLE 103	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0	93.1%
MIN 85, DEN 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0	92.9%