NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	8.5 [147]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +53.8%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	2.9 [632]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -23.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.54	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.54	0.29	0.28	0.03	26	78%	0.56	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	9	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Horace Grant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	8	44%	-0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22	-0.17	-0.09	-0.04	17	45%	-0.18	2	-0.04	22	32%	-0.28

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	14	63%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	68%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.06	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.13	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	12	48%	-0.00	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.18,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.16	0.00	13	39%	-0.10	2	-0.13	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	30.2	16.5	28.4	2.5	35.5	143.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.1%

LAL +4.5%

HOU -25.3%

LAL +41.4%

HOU -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	17.2	15.5	110.0	104.4	100.9
season	15.6	16.3		106.8	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.2		102.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	14.7	17.6	13.0	14.8
HOU	16.2	16.6	17.5	18.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	41	42	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.47	13	-8	21	13.9	15.6	-1.73	17.1	17.2	-0.11
Robert Horry	47	48	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.37	13	-8	21	13.5	16.3	-2.79	18.0	16.2	1.85
Ron Harper	45	45	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	3	-1	15.4	14.3	1.11	16.8	17.5	-0.71
Kobe Bryant	84	82	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	7	-9	14.9	13.8	1.08	17.1	17.4	-0.24
Shaquille O'Neal	80	80	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	5	-5	14.9	14.1	0.84	16.8	19.6	-2.75
Greg Foster	5	4	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	1	3	14.6	14.9	-0.26	23.5	16.9	6.64
Mark Madsen	5	6	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	4	-3	13.6	14.9	-1.32	17.0	17.2	-0.17
Isaiah Rider	45	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	2	1	14.3	15.4	-1.11	17.5	16.8	0.71
Rick Fox	54	54	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	7	-9	15.8	13.4	2.38	16.4	18.2	-1.82
Mike Penberthy	14	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.13	1	4	-3	14.5	14.9	-0.41	18.9	16.8	2.13
Horace Grant	30	29	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.02	-8	13	-21	16.5	14.0	2.43	16.3	17.6	-1.25

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	57	59	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-8	11	17.1	17.3	-0.23	15.4	13.9	1.48
Kenny Thomas	13	14	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-7	9	13.5	17.8	-4.32	15.4	14.7	0.61
Matt Bullard	5	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-4	3	20.4	17.0	3.44	10.0	15.0	-5.01
Kelvin Cato	21	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-1	-3	19.0	16.6	2.47	11.8	15.7	-3.91
Steve Francis	69	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.34	6	-11	17	16.5	19.3	-2.84	15.0	14.2	0.76
Walt Williams	58	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-5	5	15.8	19.6	-3.73	15.9	13.0	2.96
Hakeem Olajuwon	55	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-2	-1	17.5	16.7	0.77	15.8	13.3	2.54
Moochie Norris	42	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	7	-19	19.4	15.2	4.13	14.2	15.4	-1.15
Maurice Taylor	73	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	1	-7	17.5	15.8	1.71	14.9	14.4	0.53
Cuttino Mobley	57	57	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.35	-10	5	-15	16.9	17.5	-0.62	13.6	17.0	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.62,0.55,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, SEA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.34,0.27,0	90.9%
MIN 112, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.53,0.63,0.45,0.27,0	90.6%
SAC 110, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.16,0	90.0%