inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 81 Excitement7.7 [282] MVPHorace Grant (LAL): +23.2%
Miami Heat 79 Comeback1.9 [631] LVPBrian Grant (MIA): -36.8%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Horace Grant0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.23,0.230.050.180.00967%0.261-0.0300%0.00
Rick Fox0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.01887%0.142-0.0500%0.00
Robert Horry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.02-0.00475%0.061-0.0500%0.00
Brian Shaw0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Foster0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Rider-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00540%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Mike Penberthy-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ron Harper-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.06-0.08-0.0140%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.190,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19-0.14-0.06-0.022142%-0.122-0.071118%-0.18
Kobe Bryant-0.330,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.33-0.14-0.23-0.042441%-0.153-0.19862%-0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Mason0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.04-0.011462%0.161-0.054100%0.03
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.030.014100%0.1000.0000%0.00
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00375%0.0400.002100%0.02
Duane Causwell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.060.00850%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.08-0.140.001344%-0.102-0.12667%-0.06
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.25-0.25-0.16-0.11-0.021625%-0.231-0.02450%-0.03
Brian Grant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.37-0.37-0.10-0.28-0.012133%-0.331-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.73.528.519.626.13.432.6136.3
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +61.7%
MIA -14.2%
LAL +21.9%
MIA -17.9%
MIA -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALMIANBALALMIANBA
this game17.618.015.5101.296.3100.9
season15.616.3106.898.4
opponent16.115.296.9101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL16.619.016.718.417.6
MIA17.719.915.319.518.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant76780.61-0.110.730.417-51217.126.5-9.3917.821.2-3.44
Rick Fox59600.61-0.110.720.446-41017.019.1-2.1317.220.1-2.89
Shaquille O'Neal72740.59-0.090.670.445-3817.320.1-2.8317.621.5-3.91
Ron Harper48490.57-0.070.640.406-41017.218.2-0.9716.819.7-2.83
Horace Grant64650.420.080.340.4202-217.916.21.7317.818.8-1.07
Brian Shaw13130.040.46-0.43-0.0220217.817.50.2320.617.53.14
Isaiah Rider23230.020.48-0.460.0202-217.717.50.2319.017.61.36
Greg Foster34-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-35-819.017.51.4821.517.83.71
Robert Horry2829-0.120.62-0.740.06-68-1418.816.91.8619.916.92.97
Mike Penberthy1415-0.150.65-0.790.06-79-1620.517.03.5520.117.52.56

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Duane Causwell15150.15-0.650.81-0.057-91618.817.81.0118.017.50.52
A.C. Green28280.05-0.550.60-0.074-61019.617.12.4818.717.01.70
Anthony Carter3132-0.10-0.400.29-0.224-61020.716.34.4518.916.72.17
Bruce Bowen6561-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.22-64-1017.221.0-3.8217.218.7-1.45
Anthony Mason7674-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.41-31-417.721.2-3.4417.419.3-1.90
Tim Hardaway6059-0.520.02-0.55-0.44-31-416.821.0-4.2017.318.4-1.09
Eddie Jones7371-0.570.07-0.64-0.40-64-1018.117.01.1017.319.9-2.61
Brian Grant6260-0.600.10-0.71-0.40-75-1217.718.7-0.9617.418.0-0.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.22,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 95, PHI 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.45,0.52,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.45,0.33,0.02,092.1%
IND 107, NYK 1010.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.68,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.22,0.05,092.0%
OKC 109, BOS 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.04,091.6%