inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 93 Excitement4.1 [965] MVPClifford Robinson (PHX): +6.6%
Phoenix Suns 103 Comeback1.0 [879] LVPMalik Rose (SAS): -14.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Anderson0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001459%0.041-0.021687%0.03
David Robinson0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.02-0.011062%0.072-0.04967%-0.02
Ira Newble0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Elliott-0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01850%-0.001-0.012100%0.00
Terry Porter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01150%-0.011-0.012100%0.01
Danny Ferry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.00-0.041043%0.024-0.081100%0.01
Tim Duncan-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.01-0.011245%-0.054-0.08978%-0.00
Malik Rose-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.06-0.001337%-0.131-0.02650%-0.01

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Clifford Robinson0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.02-0.031354%0.091-0.032100%0.01
Elliot Perry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.013117%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Mario Elie0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.012125%0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Dudley0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.044100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Daniel Santiago0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.002100%0.051-0.013100%0.01
Rodney Rogers0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.01-0.031350%0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Tom Gugliotta0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02367%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.01-0.031645%0.012-0.03683%0.01
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.031844%-0.012-0.023100%0.01
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.041032%-0.041-0.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.52.830.518.827.22.7779.1889.6
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +43.0%
SAS -6.0%
PHX +3.2%
PHX +8.4%
PHX +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPHXNBASASPHXNBA
this game15.315.315.597.9110.8100.9
season15.914.9103.497.7
opponent15.415.596.296.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.612.815.916.215.3
PHX14.016.614.116.515.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ira Newble330.00-0.500.50-0.062-12148.015.6-7.5819.715.24.51
Samaki Walker330.00-0.500.50-0.062-12148.015.6-7.5819.715.24.51
Danny Ferry2929-0.02-0.480.46-0.206-162212.716.5-3.8614.415.7-1.24
Malik Rose4544-0.07-0.430.37-0.215-152014.416.2-1.8614.416.1-1.65
Terry Porter2526-0.07-0.430.35-0.225-152017.814.53.3416.714.71.98
Tim Duncan6765-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.09-122-1415.714.41.2915.714.31.45
Antonio Daniels8078-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.05-144-1815.017.0-1.9715.116.3-1.15
Sean Elliott5957-0.47-0.03-0.430.06-188-2615.914.41.4815.714.70.94
Derek Anderson8986-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.16-111-1215.710.35.3414.919.9-4.93
David Robinson7574-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.05-155-2015.913.32.5815.315.5-0.22

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kidd70740.470.030.430.2091815.415.10.2315.614.31.35
Shawn Marion78800.420.080.330.2173415.812.53.3015.216.3-1.10
Rodney Rogers52530.400.100.290.1973414.716.1-1.3816.014.51.50
Chris Dudley39410.370.130.24-0.0113-31616.114.71.3416.014.91.12
Mario Elie33330.270.230.04-0.0812-21415.215.3-0.0914.915.6-0.66
Clifford Robinson59620.250.250.000.2219-815.315.20.1016.313.62.70
Tony Delk55550.100.40-0.300.16-212-1415.315.3-0.0714.216.9-2.66
Elliot Perry25240.090.41-0.320.0037-414.815.5-0.6316.015.10.94
Tom Gugliotta14140.070.43-0.360.0128-614.315.5-1.2016.515.11.36
Corie Blount27250.050.45-0.400.08-111-1215.415.20.2011.816.6-4.85
Daniel Santiago13140.020.48-0.460.05-111-1213.715.6-1.8715.615.30.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 89, POR 1020.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,195.9%
MIN 89, MEM 1060.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,195.7%
MIA 90, SAS 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.99,195.4%