inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 109 Excitement9.9 [58] MVPSam Cassell (MIL): +56.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 105 Comeback6.3 [100] LVPKobe Bryant (LAL): -27.3%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Cassell0.560,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.06,0.560.060.47-0.031571%0.774-0.215100%0.07
Ray Allen0.350,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.350.230.140.031980%0.381-0.04683%-0.01
Lindsey Hunter0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.100.12-0.00781%0.2200.002100%0.01
Glenn Robinson-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.002349%0.001-0.03771%0.02
Jerome Kersey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Scott Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Joel Przybilla-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Tim Thomas-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.00725%-0.102-0.042100%0.01
Jason Caffey-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15-0.02-0.120.00460%-0.092-0.062100%0.01
Ervin Johnson-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16-0.04-0.120.0010%-0.131-0.0200%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Penberthy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.310.310.180.130.007114%0.3100.0000%0.00
Isaiah Rider0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.060.00250%0.0600.0000%0.00
Greg Foster00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.001050%0.051-0.052100%0.02
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00175%0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Horace Grant0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00729%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Ron Harper0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.06-0.060.08-0.130.025100%0.111-0.1800%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.06-0.02750%-0.043-0.0520%-0.06
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.012150%0.034-0.131040%-0.11
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.27-0.27-0.19-0.14-0.053136%-0.133-0.14786%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.430.511.625.32.436.9135.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +32.6%
MIL +14.3%
LAL -16.8%
MIL +19.6%
MIL +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILLALNBAMILLALNBA
this game13.516.415.5112.4109.4100.9
season14.915.6105.9106.8
opponent15.215.8101.8102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL12.013.415.613.413.5
LAL14.716.616.418.116.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen80790.62-0.120.730.5040413.314.6-1.3316.416.10.37
Jason Caffey57580.450.050.410.286-2812.914.3-1.3717.414.82.61
Sam Cassell77760.380.120.260.3222012.816.3-3.6016.814.62.23
Ervin Johnson41380.330.170.160.156-2814.712.62.1416.116.6-0.47
Glenn Robinson79780.300.200.110.2813-213.015.7-2.6716.117.6-1.47
Lindsey Hunter40390.240.26-0.020.105-1614.412.91.5014.617.6-3.03
Tim Thomas44430.230.27-0.030.26-15-613.413.6-0.2015.217.3-2.09
Joel Przybilla32330.160.34-0.19-0.026-2812.813.8-1.0617.215.91.25
Scott Williams1111-0.060.56-0.630.02-37-1015.513.22.2117.216.30.92
Jerome Kersey2526-0.140.64-0.790.00-59-1415.612.72.8916.416.30.08

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Madsen13130.05-0.550.590.021-5616.116.4-0.3311.713.8-2.08
Brian Shaw9100.03-0.530.55-0.001-5617.816.21.5613.113.5-0.44
Greg Foster11-0.07-0.430.370.02-3-1-226.016.39.7419.013.45.56
Robert Horry5251-0.11-0.390.27-0.296-101615.617.3-1.7213.913.10.82
Kobe Bryant8586-0.12-0.380.27-0.265-91415.622.1-6.4713.215.5-2.21
Shaquille O'Neal7778-0.22-0.280.05-0.251-5617.113.63.4714.210.83.36
Mike Penberthy4746-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.270-4415.717.0-1.3414.512.61.95
Isaiah Rider1414-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.15-51-618.816.02.8312.413.7-1.33
Horace Grant7576-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.19-84-1217.512.25.2813.513.6-0.16
Rick Fox6667-0.520.02-0.54-0.29-84-1215.518.2-2.6713.413.8-0.44
Ron Harper4143-0.530.03-0.56-0.24-106-1616.316.4-0.0412.414.4-1.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.38,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.54,0.53,0.29,0.1,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 113, MEM 1090.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.46,0.37,0.59,0.34,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.42,091.1%
TOR 103, CHA 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.16,0.14,0.18,090.7%
ORL 85, DET 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.21,0.1,0.15,090.4%