NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	6.8 [432]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (PHX): +11.6%
Toronto Raptors	87		Comeback	1.5 [493]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -35.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.00	14	68%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	18	56%	0.15	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0.05	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	17	55%	0.13	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Daniel Santiago	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul McPherson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	12	43%	-0.04	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.01	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	12	48%	-0.02	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	7	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.11,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.25,-0.2,-0.14,-0.18,-0.25,-0.33,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.35	-0.35	-0.21	-0.16	-0.02	34	43%	-0.17	5	-0.18	14	71%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	30.6	16.6	28.1	2.3	33.6	137.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.0%

TOR -7.6%

TOR -5.1%

PHX +9.1%

PHX +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.5	106.7	97.8	100.9
season	14.9	15.8		97.7	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		101.6	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	17.8	16.0	15.7	15.8
TOR	18.0	15.7	17.6	15.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	58	56	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-4	16	15.4	16.5	-1.13	16.6	16.5	0.01
Clifford Robinson	75	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	3	2	14.7	21.7	-7.01	16.0	19.5	-3.50
Jason Kidd	81	80	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	5	-2	15.3	21.0	-5.70	16.1	20.8	-4.70
Shawn Marion	40	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	2	4	15.8	15.8	-0.06	17.0	16.1	0.85
Mario Elie	57	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	4	0	15.8	15.8	-0.01	16.5	16.7	-0.18
Chris Dudley	35	35	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	-6	20	17.1	15.0	2.06	18.7	15.1	3.61
Tony Delk	47	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	5	-2	17.1	14.4	2.66	17.1	16.0	1.13
Elliot Perry	8	9	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	3	2	21.0	15.3	5.70	20.8	16.1	4.70
Daniel Santiago	8	9	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	4	0	13.7	16.0	-2.26	20.0	16.2	3.84
Paul McPherson	2	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	8	-8	14.5	15.8	-1.34	5.0	16.8	-11.82
Corie Blount	34	33	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.20	-16	24	-40	16.5	15.4	1.12	14.0	18.1	-4.05

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	38	37	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.29	12	-20	32	14.8	17.9	-3.12	16.3	15.5	0.79
Kevin Willis	15	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-1	-6	20.5	15.7	4.79	17.4	15.5	1.91
Dell Curry	19	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	16.3	16.6	-0.37	14.8	16.1	-1.23
Corliss Williamson	32	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	4	-16	18.8	15.3	3.58	16.2	15.6	0.59
Alvin Williams	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-10	12	15.8	17.9	-2.09	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Charles Oakley	71	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	16.4	17.1	-0.70	16.4	13.5	2.89
Mark Jackson	65	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-4	0	16.4	16.9	-0.44	16.0	15.2	0.86
Vince Carter	84	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-4	0	16.2	22.0	-5.77	15.6	18.8	-3.17
Antonio Davis	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	7	-22	17.0	15.6	1.43	14.8	18.0	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.06,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 113, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.21,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.09,0	93.1%
CHH 94, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.18,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.1,0.01,0	93.0%
DEN 104, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0	91.7%