NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	76		Excitement	5.5 [701]		MVP	Lorenzen Wright (ATL): +5.8%
Atlanta Hawks	67		Comeback	1.7 [949]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -18.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	55%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Toni Kukoc	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	43%	-0.03	3	-0.09	4	0%	-0.06
Aaron McKie	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	16	39%	-0.04	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19	-0.18	-0.01	-0.01	20	42%	-0.07	5	-0.12	10	80%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	14	53%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Larry Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	10	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	17	38%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	10%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	24.5	15.6	28.2	2.5	31.4	130.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +11.0%

PHI +3.2%

PHI +35.3%

ATL -3.1%

PHI +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.8	15.5	85.4	75.3	100.9
season	15.7	15.4		101.4	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		101.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	12.8	12.7	23.3	15.6
ATL	17.1	16.5	17.8	15.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	75	74	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.12	16	-7	23	15.3	17.2	-1.95	16.9	16.5	0.38
Toni Kukoc	40	39	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.11	23	-14	37	13.3	17.4	-4.13	17.4	16.3	1.16
Eric Snow	71	71	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-5	19	15.8	14.6	1.21	17.4	14.2	3.21
Allen Iverson	79	78	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-1	11	15.1	19.7	-4.65	16.6	18.5	-1.90
Tyrone Hill	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	4	1	16.3	12.4	3.91	16.6	17.7	-1.10
George Lynch	14	15	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	10	-11	15.4	15.6	-0.17	20.4	16.1	4.35
Matt Geiger	22	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	13	-17	16.0	15.4	0.51	15.5	17.2	-1.71
Vernon Maxwell	32	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	15	-21	16.2	15.2	1.06	15.6	17.5	-1.92
Aaron McKie	40	41	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.23	-12	21	-33	17.0	14.4	2.55	16.1	17.4	-1.23

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hanno Mottola	14	13	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.05	7	-16	23	15.3	17.1	-1.78	15.9	15.5	0.41
Larry Robinson	53	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	5	-14	19	17.2	16.2	1.04	15.7	15.3	0.40
Cal Bowdler	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-7	5	18.2	16.7	1.50	14.2	15.7	-1.45
Chris Crawford	16	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-6	3	15.6	17.1	-1.49	13.6	16.0	-2.38
Lorenzen Wright	18	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-3	-3	15.4	17.1	-1.68	11.4	16.7	-5.35
Matt Maloney	64	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-10	11	15.9	19.0	-3.08	17.4	11.0	6.36
Anthony Johnson	25	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	1	-11	19.0	15.9	3.08	11.0	17.4	-6.36
Dikembe Mutombo	65	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-8	7	17.0	16.3	0.68	17.2	11.7	5.54
Jason Terry	79	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-4	-1	16.7	17.2	-0.47	16.1	11.4	4.70
DerMarr Johnson	40	42	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	6	-21	16.2	17.3	-1.07	14.6	16.4	-1.85
Alan Henderson	66	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.11	-16	7	-23	17.6	14.6	3.00	15.6	15.4	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 108, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0	94.0%
IND 90, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.11,0.02,0.02,0	93.9%
GSW 108, MEM 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%