NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Excitement	1.2 [1035]		MVP	Matt Harpring (CLE): +10.2%
Miami Heat	67		Comeback	1.2 [298]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -22.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	6	92%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Michael Hawkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	46%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	68%	0.06	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.04	10	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.20	-0.03	-0.00	6	12%	-0.13	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	53%	0.01	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	12	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	46%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	10	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.02	0.03	15	39%	-0.07	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	26.2	15.8	26.1	2.5	25.3	120.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +46.0%

CLE +0.1%

CLE +16.4%

MIA -10.0%

MIA -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	16.4	16.7	15.5	98.9	77.0	100.9
season	15.3	16.3		98.4	98.4
opponent	16.1	15.6		96.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	15.6	15.7	19.4	16.4
MIA	17.7	15.7	17.7	15.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trajan Langdon	56	56	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.06	18	1	17	16.2	16.7	-0.45	15.8	18.4	-2.55
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	46	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	4	11	16.0	16.9	-0.88	17.9	15.3	2.61
Andre Miller	68	69	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.00	12	7	5	16.9	14.5	2.45	16.7	16.8	-0.15
Matt Harpring	39	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	6	7	15.6	17.0	-1.41	18.8	15.0	3.73
Chris Gatling	34	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	11	-3	17.0	16.0	1.00	15.8	17.3	-1.44
Robert Traylor	52	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	14	-9	16.1	16.8	-0.68	15.7	18.3	-2.63
Clar. Weatherspoon	39	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	11	-3	16.4	16.4	-0.06	17.7	15.9	1.87
Michael Hawkins	19	18	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	12	-5	14.5	16.9	-2.45	16.8	16.7	0.15
Cedric Henderson	43	43	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	14	-9	17.9	14.9	3.00	15.4	18.0	-2.60
Lamond Murray	36	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	17	-15	15.7	16.9	-1.24	17.5	16.2	1.30
Chris Mihm	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	21.0	16.2	4.77	12.7	16.9	-4.19

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Robinson	27	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-15	11	15.3	17.4	-2.11	18.4	15.4	2.95
Brian Grant	56	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-18	17	16.6	16.9	-0.25	17.7	13.9	3.79
A.C. Green	16	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-11	3	17.2	16.6	0.58	11.1	17.5	-6.35
Duane Causwell	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-15	11	18.2	15.7	2.48	18.8	14.7	4.07
Anthony Carter	19	18	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	-8	-3	16.8	16.7	0.17	12.1	17.5	-5.47
Eddie House	51	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-8	-3	15.4	18.5	-3.10	16.8	15.8	1.06
Bruce Bowen	65	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-12	5	16.7	16.6	0.10	16.5	15.9	0.64
Tim Hardaway	57	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-5	-9	17.2	15.9	1.29	16.8	15.7	1.11
Todd Fuller	34	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.15	-19	0	-19	16.9	16.6	0.38	14.2	17.8	-3.61
Anthony Mason	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	-3	-13	16.9	15.8	1.11	15.9	19.4	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 110, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%
WAS 77, CHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
LAC 100, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%