inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 89 Excitement2.5 [1186] MVPMitch Richmond (WAS): +9.0%
Washington Wizards 109 Comeback1.2 [839] LVPAntoine Walker (BOS): -8.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.100.000.041081%0.092-0.0310%-0.01
Chris Carr0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.05970%0.0210.002100%0.00
Adrian Griffin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02267%0.0000.00250%0.00
Mark Blount-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.0430%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rick Brunson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02642%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Walter McCarty-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.05544%-0.002-0.02683%-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.05731%-0.021-0.00250%-0.01
Chris Herren-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01440%-0.032-0.032100%0.01
Tony Battie-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.04629%-0.032-0.0320%-0.02
Bryant Stith-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.02720%-0.061-0.021100%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.010.000.072254%-0.014-0.074100%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.200.000.119106%0.0900.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.02-0.061756%0.093-0.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.100.000.031272%0.081-0.025100%0.01
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.01570%0.0310.0000%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02744%0.0000.00450%-0.01
Michael Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Obinna Ekezie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jahidi White0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.011058%0.043-0.044100%0.01
Gerard King0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Felipe Lopez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02645%-0.0100.00887%0.00
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01375%0.023-0.042100%0.01
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.02333%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.828.814.724.02.027.2125.1
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +33.5%
WAS +8.1%
BOS -0.6%
WAS +8.8%
WAS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSWASNBABOSWASNBA
this game15.914.315.592.7114.7100.9
season15.115.299.798.6
opponent15.215.4105.5101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.616.317.115.915.9
WAS12.013.217.215.414.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adrian Griffin1617-0.00-0.500.49-0.093-232616.515.70.7514.114.3-0.19
Mark Blount2221-0.04-0.460.42-0.257-273414.016.4-2.3715.214.01.18
Walter McCarty2626-0.10-0.400.29-0.224-242814.216.5-2.2515.014.00.95
Rick Brunson3738-0.14-0.360.21-0.12-1-191815.316.2-0.9015.713.32.39
Eric Williams3231-0.16-0.340.19-0.160-202015.616.0-0.4214.314.30.02
Chris Carr4040-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-161215.815.9-0.1714.813.90.87
Tony Battie3636-0.21-0.290.080.20-14-6-816.415.60.7814.614.10.59
Vitaly Potapenko3838-0.25-0.250.000.13-13-7-616.515.50.9913.414.8-1.42
Paul Pierce5857-0.25-0.25-0.010.16-14-6-816.115.60.4514.913.31.55
Chris Herren4846-0.35-0.15-0.200.18-18-2-1616.015.70.3313.415.1-1.75
Antoine Walker7069-0.40-0.10-0.290.31-244-2816.514.22.2514.015.0-0.95
Bryant Stith5756-0.43-0.07-0.360.33-266-3216.015.70.2213.116.0-2.89

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Howard52530.480.020.46-0.3428-83613.215.6-2.3516.615.01.58
Mitch Richmond60630.450.050.40-0.3427-73413.914.9-1.0116.315.01.33
Rod Strickland56570.420.080.34-0.3727-73413.016.1-3.1516.215.40.87
Felipe Lopez65610.290.210.08-0.06128413.615.6-1.9916.015.70.34
Jahidi White37390.280.220.06-0.3622-22413.314.9-1.6416.415.50.94
Richard Hamilton48520.260.240.02-0.00911-214.613.90.7115.815.9-0.10
Cherokee Parks30300.220.28-0.06-0.05911-214.714.10.6217.115.31.78
Chris Whitney39390.080.42-0.340.29-727-3416.113.03.1515.416.2-0.87
Michael Smith30300.080.42-0.350.05119-1816.113.42.6215.416.1-0.64
Calvin Booth28270.000.50-0.500.32-1131-4215.113.91.2313.716.7-3.02
Obinna Ekezie650.000.50-0.500.12-424-2816.014.21.8415.415.9-0.50
Gerard King2424-0.050.55-0.610.33-1333-4615.813.72.0913.516.7-3.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 88, HOU 1150.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.8,0.9,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
LAL 73, PHI 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
NYK 85, GSW 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%