NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	80		Excitement	6.8 [430]		MVP	Felipe Lopez (WAS): +8.5%
Washington Wizards	76		Comeback	1.4 [521]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -18.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.05	0.13	-0.01	13	47%	0.14	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Marcus Camby	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	13	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	11	42%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Allan Houston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.01	17	46%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Charlie Ward	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	8	31%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gerard King	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	41%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	14	43%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	16	47%	-0.05	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	17	42%	-0.11	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.3	26.5	15.7	27.1	2.5	35.3	135.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +50.7%

WAS -1.2%

NYK +4.4%

WAS -4.2%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	17.2	15.3	15.5	89.9	86.4	100.9
season	16.4	15.2		99.2	98.6
opponent	15.2	16.1		105.5	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	15.2	18.9	18.9	17.2
WAS	12.5	17.5	15.4	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	42	43	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-7	18	16.5	17.9	-1.44	16.7	13.9	2.83
Allan Houston	65	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	3	-2	17.0	18.0	-1.05	14.7	17.0	-2.29
Larry Johnson	66	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	1	2	16.5	19.2	-2.67	14.7	16.7	-2.00
Glen Rice	45	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-5	14	16.8	17.6	-0.79	17.0	13.6	3.41
Marcus Camby	71	72	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	6	-8	18.3	13.1	5.17	15.4	14.9	0.51
Kurt Thomas	41	40	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	-3	10	16.5	17.8	-1.30	16.0	14.7	1.29
Latrell Sprewell	68	68	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	6	-8	17.8	15.5	2.24	14.8	17.0	-2.27
Charlie Ward	47	45	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	11	-18	17.9	16.5	1.44	13.9	16.7	-2.83

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerard King	7	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.03	-4	0	-4	20.7	14.8	5.89	14.7	17.4	-2.76
Jahidi White	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-1	-2	15.2	15.3	-0.09	18.4	16.4	2.00
Juwan Howard	69	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.43	10	-14	24	14.7	17.5	-2.78	18.4	12.8	5.52
Obinna Ekezie	23	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	0	-4	14.9	15.4	-0.58	14.4	18.2	-3.84
Chris Whitney	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	4	-12	17.2	14.5	2.73	15.8	17.9	-2.12
Felipe Lopez	57	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-6	8	14.6	16.5	-1.83	18.1	15.8	2.38
Rod Strickland	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-8	12	14.5	17.2	-2.73	17.9	15.8	2.12
Mitch Richmond	73	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-8	12	14.7	18.0	-3.26	17.8	14.1	3.67
Richard Hamilton	39	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	6	-16	16.3	14.5	1.82	15.4	18.9	-3.51
Michael Smith	47	47	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.28	-11	7	-18	16.4	14.0	2.43	16.0	18.6	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.16,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 96, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.08,0	92.6%
GSW 99, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.45,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.05,0.01,0	92.6%
LAL 99, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.53,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.24,0.16,0.02,0,0	92.5%