NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	6.6 [473]		MVP	Howard Eisley (DAL): +16.1%
Dallas Mavericks	94		Comeback	1.1 [983]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): -19.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Edney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.02	0.07	20	68%	0.11	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	65%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	17%	-0.08
Reggie Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	11	52%	0.06	4	-0.16	3	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Al Harrington	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	9	43%	-0.02	4	-0.12	10	60%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	11	42%	-0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.02	9	67%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	13	67%	0.18	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	7	76%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.05	-0.01	13	47%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	56%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	10	27%	-0.09	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	1.8	26.1	15.8	23.1	1.7	34.3	132.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +43.8%

DAL +6.7%

IND -16.1%

DAL +17.7%

IND -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.5	15.5	97.8	102.2	100.9
season	15.9	15.2		99.3	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		101.2	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.5	17.6	15.6	13.4	15.2
DAL	16.2	17.5	16.4	16.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zan Tabak	55	55	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-4	2	14.5	16.1	-1.57	18.2	13.9	4.24
Derrick McKey	51	55	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.35	11	-17	28	15.3	14.9	0.37	16.3	16.8	-0.51
Tyus Edney	6	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-5	4	12.0	15.4	-3.38	18.1	16.3	1.80
Sam Perkins	39	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-12	18	15.6	14.8	0.72	15.0	17.5	-2.52
Jonathan Bender	7	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	1	-8	13.7	15.3	-1.56	16.8	16.5	0.38
Jermaine O'Neal	36	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	3	-12	16.5	14.3	2.19	16.2	16.7	-0.51
Austin Croshere	43	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-2	-2	15.7	14.7	0.95	15.8	17.1	-1.33
Al Harrington	54	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	2	-10	14.4	16.3	-1.87	16.8	16.0	0.85
Travis Best	84	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	15.4	12.0	3.38	16.3	18.1	-1.80
Reggie Miller	75	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	5	-16	15.0	15.7	-0.69	16.4	16.8	-0.38

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	66	63	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.16	16	-10	26	16.3	17.0	-0.78	15.0	15.6	-0.62
Steve Nash	64	62	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.21	13	-7	20	16.0	17.6	-1.62	15.2	15.1	0.12
Shawn Bradley	56	57	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-9	24	16.6	16.2	0.38	15.9	13.8	2.11
Michael Finley	73	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	-2	10	16.6	16.1	0.54	14.5	17.8	-3.35
Greg Buckner	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	7	-8	16.8	16.0	0.77	14.6	16.1	-1.52
Eduardo Najera	34	33	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	1	4	15.9	16.8	-0.90	16.1	14.6	1.52
Howard Eisley	45	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.36	-6	12	-18	16.4	16.6	-0.20	14.3	16.0	-1.68
Christian Laettner	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	9	-12	17.2	16.3	0.93	15.2	15.2	0.03
Hubert Davis	19	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	10	-14	14.9	16.9	-2.00	16.4	14.9	1.55
Loy Vaught	29	29	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.13	-13	19	-32	18.3	15.6	2.73	16.2	14.7	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.69,0.86,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.5%
MIL 90, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.61,0.89,0.97,1,1	93.2%
LAC 104, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,1	93.1%