WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	82		Excitement	11.6 [2]		MVP	Napheesa Collier (MIN): +84.0%
Connecticut Sun	83		Comeback	22.3 [20]		LVP	Cecilia Zandalasini (MIN): -30.6%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Napheesa Collier	0.84	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.84	0.15	0.66	-0.04	23	56%	0.95	4	-0.11	9	56%	-0.08
Kayla McBride	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26	0.09	0.17	-0.00	11	59%	0.30	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Natisha Hiedeman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	3	40%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06
Courtney Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	15	56%	0.17	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.03
Bridget Carleton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taylor Soule	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Diamond Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olivia �poupa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alanna Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.02	-0.12	0.00	7	59%	0.02	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Cecilia Zandalasini	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.06	-0.24	0.00	1	0%	-0.10	2	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.56	0.56	0.06	0.49	-0.01	14	51%	0.61	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.55	0.55	0.15	0.41	0.00	12	65%	0.68	2	-0.12	7	86%	0.15
Brionna Jones	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.16	0.18	-0.02	13	66%	0.41	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.06
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.17	0.17	-0.01	0.18	-0.00	5	60%	0.26	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	0.05	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Astou Ndour-Fall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DiJonai Carrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tyasha Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.09	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CON	WNBA	MIN	CON	WNBA
this game	14.8	16.2	14.8	93.2	96.5	100.5
season	14.9	15.3		101.9	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.3		94.3	95.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.5	13.7	15.3	18.5	14.8
CON	17.2	16.3	13.3	19.3	16.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	60%	32%	7.4%	0.0%	47.6%	61.4%	40.0%
CON	0%	61%	31%	7.5%	0.0%	45.1%	45.2%	90.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	14	57%	8	50%	1	100%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	4	37%	5	80%	2	50%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	2	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	9	56%	5	60%	1	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	2	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Taylor Soule	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond Miller	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia �poupa	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	5	80%	2	0%	0	0%
Cecilia Zandalasini	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%
Lynx	0	0%	41	48%	22	61%	5	40%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	8	37%	4	25%	2	100%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	7	71%	5	40%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	8	62%	5	60%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	1	150%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	2	50%
Astou Ndour-Fall	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	8	37%	1	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	4	25%	4	62%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	41	45%	21	45%	5	90%