WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	90		Excitement	8.1 [35]		MVP	Dearica Hamby (LVA): +27.4%
Las Vegas Aces	94		Comeback	2.9 [159]		LVP	Tiffany Hayes (ATL): -24.4%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jessica Breland	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19	0.15	0.06	0.03	13	64%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brittney Sykes	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.08	0.03	11	62%	0.19	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Marie G�lich	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.16	0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.07
Nia Coffey	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maite Cazorla	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renee Montgomery	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Alex Bentley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	13	34%	-0.05	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Tiffany Hayes	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.24	-0.11	-0.15	-0.02	12	31%	-0.17	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.10	0.01	13	66%	0.36	2	-0.09	9	78%	0.01
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.21	0.01	0.05	15	66%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Liz Cambage	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	12	49%	0.15	1	-0.04	13	62%	-0.11
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	4	90%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.14	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Sydney Colson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sugar Rodgers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LVA	WNBA	ATL	LVA	WNBA
this game	14.9	13.1	14.9	105.9	109.3	98.5
season	15.4	13.3		89.0	99.9
opponent	15.5	14.7		96.3	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	13.2	15.7	16.7	14.9
LVA	11.6	12.9	14.3	14.1	13.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	1%	74%	22%	2.6%	100.0%	51.8%	38.2%	0.0%
LVA	0%	71%	29%	0.0%	0.0%	56.4%	42.1%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	8	62%	4	75%	1	0%
Brittney Sykes	1	100%	6	83%	4	25%	0	0%
Marie G�lich	0	0%	6	83%	2	50%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	3	83%	2	75%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Maite Cazorla	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	7	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	11	32%	2	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	8	25%	3	0%	1	0%
Dream	1	100%	56	52%	17	38%	2	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	11	73%	2	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	8	69%	7	57%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	8	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	3	83%	1	100%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	2	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	12	46%	1	0%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	47	56%	19	42%	0	0%