WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	95		Excitement	10.8 [2]		MVP	Elena Delle Donne (WAS): +75.4%
Indiana Fever	88		Comeback	11.2 [41]		LVP	Natasha Cloud (WAS): -13.4%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0.75	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.32,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75	0.23	0.50	-0.03	22	57%	0.75	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Kristi Toliver	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.17	0.10	0.00	10	77%	0.36	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.09	-0.00	6	58%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emma Meesseman	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	11	54%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Aerial Powers	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	1	120%	0.14	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Tianna Hawkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.17,0,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	13	44%	0.17	2	-0.22	1	0%	-0.04
LaToya Sanders	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.02	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	7	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shenise Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.13	0.29	-0.03	8	72%	0.45	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.11	0.00	9	67%	0.25	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.07	0.02	8	70%	0.24	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.03
Kennedy Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Betnijah Laney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	35%	0.07	1	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Teaira McCowan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Candice Dupree	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	11	35%	0.06	1	-0.08	1	0%	-0.03
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	13	27%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.14,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.06	-0.14	0.03	17	51%	0.18	3	-0.29	1	100%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	WNBA	WAS	IND	WNBA
this game	16.0	16.3	14.9	113.1	106.0	98.5
season	15.5	15.3		112.2	97.6
opponent	15.1	14.6		101.4	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.3	12.4	18.6	16.7	16.0
IND	16.3	19.2	17.8	12.7	16.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	3%	58%	36%	3.8%	50.0%	53.3%	51.8%	83.3%
IND	3%	64%	31%	2.6%	50.0%	40.0%	50.0%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	1	0%	14	54%	4	37%	3	83%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	6	50%	4	112%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	2	125%	4	25%	0	0%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	6	50%	5	60%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	7	36%	6	58%	0	0%
LaToya Sanders	1	100%	4	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	3	0%	4	25%	0	0%
Mystics	2	50%	45	53%	28	52%	3	83%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shenise Johnson	0	0%	4	62%	3	67%	1	100%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	6	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	1	100%	3	67%	4	62%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Betnijah Laney	0	0%	7	14%	2	50%	0	0%
Teaira McCowan	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	7	29%	4	50%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	1	0%	8	25%	4	37%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	12	54%	4	25%	1	100%
Fever	2	50%	50	40%	24	50%	2	100%