WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	72		Excitement	8.7 [23]		MVP	Jessica Breland (ATL): +22.7%
Atlanta Dream	76		Comeback	15.2 [36]		LVP	Glory Johnson (DAL): -17.0%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allisha Gray	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.06	0.00	7	78%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Imani McGee-Stafford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.00	3	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05
Brooke McCarty-Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	57%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tayler Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	46%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Theresa Plaisance	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kaela Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arike Ogunbowale	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	16	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Isabelle Harrison	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	8	28%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Kayla Thornton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	13	31%	-0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Glory Johnson	-0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	7	37%	-0.01	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jessica Breland	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.16	0.01	13	52%	0.31	1	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Renee Montgomery	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	7	83%	0.21	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	9	42%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Monique Billings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	2	60%	0.14	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	53%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.13	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Marie G�lich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.12	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Alex Bentley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	11	23%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	WNBA	DAL	ATL	WNBA
this game	16.0	14.4	14.9	90.0	98.7	98.5
season	16.6	15.4		93.3	89.0
opponent	14.7	14.6		99.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.8	15.2	13.9	18.6	16.0
ATL	15.9	14.0	14.7	13.0	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	0%	80%	16%	4.1%	0.0%	42.4%	41.7%	0.0%
ATL	0%	83%	16%	1.6%	0.0%	40.4%	70.0%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	5	80%	2	50%	0	0%
Imani McGee-Stafford	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Brooke McCarty-Williams	0	0%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Tayler Hill	0	0%	5	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaela Davis	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	10	35%	4	50%	2	0%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	7	29%	1	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	9	22%	3	33%	1	0%
Glory Johnson	0	0%	7	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	59	42%	12	42%	3	0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	12	42%	0	0%	1	100%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	6	83%	1	150%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	9	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	1	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	4	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Marie G�lich	0	0%	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	7	29%	1	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	6	0%	5	50%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	52	40%	10	70%	1	100%