NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	124		Excitement	7.3 [331]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +55.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	117		Comeback	7.3 [180]		LVP	Evan Turner (POR): -8.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.55	0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.54,0.55	0.27	0.31	0.03	29	67%	0.61	2	-0.06	14	86%	0.04
Trevor Ariza	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.11	0.15	-0.01	7	81%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.16	-0.00	4	80%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	14	68%	0.13	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Nene	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	6	60%	0.04	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.12	-0.02	21	60%	0.27	5	-0.10	5	80%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.01	10	75%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	6	92%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.03	0.03	23	70%	0.25	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	29.3	14.5	28.5	2.6	27.0	129.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +17.7%

HOU +23.1%

POR -0.4%

HOU +10.1%

POR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	13.6	15.7	14.7	127.8	118.2	107.5
season	14.6	15.2		112.8	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.8		105.7	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.4	11.7	13.3	14.3	13.6
POR	13.5	17.1	14.9	17.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	68	68	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.31	19	-12	31	14.4	12.0	2.35	15.6	16.0	-0.46
Chris Paul	70	70	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-7	21	14.1	12.6	1.52	15.8	15.6	0.23
PJ Tucker	61	63	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.30	14	-7	21	12.7	15.2	-2.55	16.8	13.8	2.96
James Harden	76	78	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.36	9	-2	11	13.8	13.1	0.65	15.0	18.5	-3.56
Eric Gordon	60	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	4	-1	12.8	15.0	-2.14	16.3	14.8	1.48
Luc Mbah a Moute	47	49	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	7	-7	13.2	14.1	-0.85	17.3	14.2	3.07
Clint Capela	46	46	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	9	-11	13.7	13.6	0.17	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Ryan Anderson	36	36	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.00	-7	14	-21	15.2	12.7	2.55	13.8	16.8	-2.96
Nene	21	22	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.01	-15	22	-37	12.6	13.9	-1.38	15.4	15.8	-0.40

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	31	30	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.09	11	-18	29	16.7	15.2	1.49	13.0	13.9	-0.94
Zach Collins	40	39	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.11	6	-13	19	16.8	15.0	1.86	12.3	14.6	-2.33
Meyers Leonard	42	42	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-8	9	14.3	16.7	-2.40	14.2	13.3	0.91
Jake Layman	29	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-3	-1	18.4	14.6	3.86	13.6	13.7	-0.13
Pat Connaughton	51	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-1	-5	15.7	15.8	-0.10	13.2	14.1	-0.90
Damian Lillard	79	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-5	3	15.3	17.4	-2.11	13.7	13.5	0.22
Noah Vonleh	20	21	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	18.2	15.1	3.11	15.2	13.2	2.03
Evan Turner	57	57	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.42	-8	1	-9	14.7	17.1	-2.35	13.9	13.2	0.72
Al-Farouq Aminu	66	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	5	-17	15.2	16.8	-1.61	14.1	12.8	1.26
CJ McCollum	80	78	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.29	-16	9	-25	15.5	16.7	-1.20	13.6	13.9	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.29,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 108, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.54,0.34,0.01,0	91.6%
DAL 91, VAN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.22,0.08,0	90.5%
MEM 98, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.71,0.6,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.26,0	90.2%