NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	84		Excitement	6.7 [408]		MVP	Brian Shaw (LAL): +11.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	89		Comeback	24.6 [38]		LVP	Brian Grant (POR): -16.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	17	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	41%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.06,-0.14,-0.1	0.04	-0.12	0.02	26	53%	-0.07	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.17
Scottie Pippen	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	10	50%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	2	0%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.07	0.02	6	92%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	10	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.09	0.00	9	60%	0.10	4	-0.08	12	67%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,0	0.00	-0.06	0.07	0.00	19	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	12	50%	-0.02
John Salley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	7	60%	0.07	2	-0.09	6	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	6	64%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	0.0	2.8	34.0	19.6	29.2	2.8	50.2	138.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.0%

LAL +17.6%

LAL +4.2%

POR -5.4%

POR -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	17.5	14.9	15.2	94.4	100.0	101.7
season	15.9	15.3		105.9	105.6
opponent	15.1	15.7		98.1	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.2	17.6	16.8	18.2	17.5
LAL	14.8	16.7	15.9	12.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	57	59	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.05	10	-15	25	17.3	17.7	-0.42	16.1	12.5	3.62
Bonzi Wells	35	34	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.14	6	-11	17	17.5	17.5	0.05	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Damon Stoudamire	39	40	0.06	-0.57	0.62	-0.12	6	-11	17	15.4	19.1	-3.69	13.4	16.1	-2.66
Greg Anthony	8	8	0.04	-0.55	0.58	-0.02	2	-7	9	20.2	17.2	3.04	13.6	15.0	-1.36
Jermaine O'Neal	11	11	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-3	1	21.2	17.0	4.22	13.8	15.0	-1.19
Scottie Pippen	77	78	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	1	-7	17.9	15.1	2.77	15.5	10.4	5.14
Rasheed Wallace	84	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.37	-5	0	-5	17.7	14.6	3.05	14.8	16.7	-1.97
Steven Smith	79	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	3	-11	17.3	18.6	-1.26	14.7	16.2	-1.50
Brian Grant	15	13	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.33	-14	9	-23	20.3	16.9	3.43	15.1	14.8	0.25
Detlef Schrempf	40	39	-0.91	0.40	-1.31	-0.50	-14	9	-23	16.2	18.5	-2.24	14.7	15.0	-0.35

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	63	63	0.72	-0.21	0.93	0.37	12	-7	19	14.0	16.9	-2.91	17.5	17.4	0.14
Brian Shaw	27	28	0.58	-0.07	0.65	-0.07	22	-17	39	15.7	14.5	1.26	19.9	16.4	3.52
Kobe Bryant	88	87	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-3	11	14.8	19.0	-4.18	17.4	22.0	-4.62
Shaquille O'Neal	88	87	0.48	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	0	5	14.8	18.0	-3.17	17.6	13.0	4.59
Glen Rice	69	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	8	-11	15.0	14.4	0.54	16.6	20.4	-3.86
Ron Harper	45	47	0.13	0.38	-0.25	0.36	-8	13	-21	14.9	14.8	0.05	16.1	19.0	-2.92
Rick Fox	21	22	0.08	0.43	-0.36	-0.07	5	0	5	14.7	14.9	-0.26	20.2	16.6	3.58
John Salley	0	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	5	-5	0.0	14.9	-14.87	22.0	17.4	4.57
Derek Fisher	18	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.12	-9	14	-23	13.7	15.2	-1.50	17.2	17.5	-0.36
A.C. Green	26	26	-0.21	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	12	-19	16.9	14.0	2.91	17.4	17.5	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.13,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 79, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.19,0.3,0.46,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	88.3%
ORL 79, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.28,0.53,0.72,0.9,0.84,1	88.3%
HOU 77, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.38,0.72,0.87,0.87,1	88.2%