inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 89 Excitement1.8 [1291] MVPBojan Bogdanovic (WAS): +8.0%
Washington Wizards 116 Comeback1.0 [1114] LVPMarcus Smart (BOS): -11.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jae Crowder0.060,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.000.011058%0.0600.004100%0.00
Gerald Green0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01847%0.0200.001100%0.00
Al Horford0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.110.000.11889%0.032-0.022100%0.01
Amir Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02260%0.0000.001100%0.00
Tyler Zeller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02330%0.0000.00475%0.00
James Young-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03437%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Terry Rozier-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00844%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaylen Brown-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03932%-0.021-0.0010%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.080.00-0.06312%-0.001-0.02250%0.01
Jonas Jerebko-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.030.01350%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.020.000.04848%-0.022-0.041164%-0.02
Marcus Smart-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.180.00-0.06939%-0.038-0.09580%-0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.150.000.071268%0.0800.00475%0.00
Otto Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.011363%0.071-0.00475%-0.01
Bradley Beal0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.00-0.051242%0.0500.002100%0.01
John Wall0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.041950%0.021-0.011090%-0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.011100%0.0110.0000%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04540%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tomas Satoransky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sheldon McClellan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.100.000.103133%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trey Burke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.021252%0.013-0.011100%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.02756%0.011-0.024100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.03.537.516.432.53.531.2154.5
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +24.2%
WAS +1.5%
WAS +10.7%
WAS +13.0%
WAS +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSWASNBABOSWASNBA
this game14.715.114.891.8120.8107.7
season14.714.4110.1109.9
opponent14.914.9108.7108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS17.113.812.915.514.7
WAS14.216.913.815.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson1817-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-262516.914.22.7215.914.90.93
James Young1817-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-262516.914.22.7215.914.90.93
Tyler Zeller2324-0.00-0.500.490.17-6-211513.115.2-2.1613.515.7-2.15
Jonas Jerebko2221-0.04-0.460.41-0.133-303312.215.5-3.2413.615.5-1.98
Gerald Green4848-0.13-0.370.240.08-7-201314.714.8-0.0516.214.12.10
Kelly Olynyk2425-0.13-0.370.24-0.192-293113.915.0-1.0815.515.00.49
Terry Rozier2122-0.22-0.280.050.04-9-18912.415.4-3.0012.915.8-2.92
Jaylen Brown3838-0.22-0.280.050.13-12-15315.514.21.3113.716.0-2.32
Jae Crowder5151-0.27-0.23-0.050.25-18-9-914.814.60.2315.314.90.47
Isaiah Thomas5756-0.33-0.17-0.160.23-19-8-1114.515.0-0.4616.413.33.11
Marcus Smart5453-0.36-0.14-0.230.19-19-8-1114.515.0-0.5714.016.5-2.49
Al Horford5553-0.37-0.13-0.230.31-23-4-1915.413.91.5015.714.41.34
Avery Bradley5655-0.41-0.09-0.320.32-25-2-2315.413.91.5215.714.31.35

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Wall67690.470.030.44-0.262522315.115.10.0214.515.4-0.88
Otto Porter Jr.76750.400.100.31-0.041512315.314.50.7814.914.00.89
Marcin Gortat59610.400.100.30-0.222161515.414.70.7115.513.42.09
Bojan Bogdanovic60600.290.210.08-0.011017-714.915.4-0.4814.714.70.00
Bradley Beal51510.270.230.04-0.231710715.514.70.7615.114.30.73
Brandon Jennings34330.260.240.02-0.031017-713.715.9-2.1413.015.6-2.67
Markieff Morris36370.210.29-0.08-0.291710715.414.90.4814.714.7-0.00
Ian Mahinmi23220.100.40-0.300.04225-2313.815.5-1.7512.215.5-3.24
Kelly Oubre Jr.11120.100.40-0.31-0.02423-1914.615.2-0.5412.215.1-2.93
Tomas Satoransky23230.000.50-0.49-0.03126-2515.814.90.8815.514.51.04
Trey Burke17180.000.50-0.50-0.03126-2515.914.90.9316.914.22.72
Jason Smith14140.000.50-0.50-0.12423-1916.114.91.2015.314.60.65
Sheldon McClellan9100.000.50-0.50-0.23819-1114.315.2-0.8616.314.61.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 83, PHI 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
DAL 90, CLE 1280.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
WAS 99, LAL 1290.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%