NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	82		Excitement	4.4 [913]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +13.5%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	1.3 [810]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -25.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	14	58%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	7	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	15	44%	-0.12	3	-0.07	15	80%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.23	-0.05	-0.03	12	32%	-0.13	5	-0.13	10	70%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	8	82%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	25	53%	0.05	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.03	-0.06	23	40%	-0.03	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	285.8	3.4	31.2	18.7	26.3	3.4	30.6	399.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +40.3%

BOS +6.2%

PHI -9.2%

BOS +14.0%

PHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.0	15.6	86.3	97.9	102.3
season	15.9	15.0		99.3	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.8	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	16.4	16.8	14.6	15.4
BOS	13.1	14.9	14.5	18.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	9.0	15.7	-6.71	24.0	14.5	9.46
Derrick McKey	24	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-4	-2	16.2	15.2	1.04	14.8	15.1	-0.29
Matt Harpring	63	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-12	14	14.8	16.6	-1.75	16.1	13.1	3.05
Corie Blount	21	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	2	-14	15.6	15.4	0.18	12.3	15.9	-3.63
Dikembe Mutombo	66	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	16.2	13.7	2.56	15.1	15.0	0.11
Eric Snow	69	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-6	2	15.7	14.7	1.07	14.5	16.3	-1.77
Speedy Claxton	27	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	14.1	16.0	-1.84	16.3	14.5	1.83
Allen Iverson	74	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-5	0	15.9	13.9	2.02	14.4	17.2	-2.82
Derrick Coleman	76	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-7	4	15.0	17.1	-2.03	15.2	14.2	1.08
Aaron McKie	51	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	2	-14	15.5	15.4	0.13	14.8	15.4	-0.57

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	45	45	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.08	21	-11	32	13.3	16.6	-3.28	17.0	14.0	2.98
Paul Pierce	92	91	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-3	16	15.0	17.5	-2.51	15.0	24.2	-9.21
Antoine Walker	87	89	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	4	2	15.3	12.3	2.98	15.3	18.0	-2.74
Eric Williams	37	40	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	1	8	14.7	15.2	-0.52	17.0	14.3	2.67
Kenny Anderson	45	43	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	7	-4	16.6	13.7	2.90	15.8	15.1	0.74
Tony Delk	35	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	0	10	13.5	15.9	-2.39	15.6	15.3	0.33
Walter McCarty	59	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	12	-14	15.3	14.6	0.75	15.0	16.2	-1.18
Rodney Rogers	56	56	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.25	-7	17	-24	16.1	13.5	2.55	14.4	16.8	-2.40
Erick Strickland	14	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	13	-16	13.9	15.2	-1.31	13.6	15.7	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 85, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAC 92, SEA 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
IND 88, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	95.2%