NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	78		Excitement	3.0 [1144]		MVP	Mario Elie (HOU): +7.5%
Houston Rockets	108		Comeback	1.4 [647]		LVP	Cory Alexander (SAS): -8.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	61%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.10	8	25%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	12	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chuck Person	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	10	24%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.00	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	59%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.16	0.00	0.09	4	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	12	64%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	8	68%	0.08	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	9	43%	0.00	2	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	60%	0.00	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Charles Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	10	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	10	27%	-0.06	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	26.3	16.3	23.6	2.3	22.1	118.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.3%

HOU +2.3%

HOU +0.2%

HOU +18.0%

SAS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	HOU	NBA	SAS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.8	14.8	15.6	82.1	116.1	102.5
season	15.9	15.7		100.9	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.9		105.7	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.3	17.2	14.6	16.2	15.8
HOU	16.0	12.8	15.5	15.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Perdue	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-28	26	14.9	16.0	-1.12	14.7	14.9	-0.20
Chuck Person	20	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	-23	16	15.4	15.9	-0.44	13.6	15.2	-1.62
Monty Williams	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.28	-13	-17	4	15.9	15.8	0.09	15.7	14.5	1.20
Jaren Jackson	36	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	-21	12	16.4	15.4	0.95	14.7	14.9	-0.22
Cory Alexander	41	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.21	-12	-18	6	16.3	15.4	0.95	15.5	14.4	1.09
Malik Rose	51	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.35	-18	-12	-6	16.1	15.5	0.60	15.8	13.7	2.13
David Robinson	56	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-21	12	15.7	15.9	-0.25	14.6	15.2	-0.65
Avery Johnson	54	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.17	-18	-12	-6	15.4	16.3	-0.95	14.4	15.5	-1.09
Vinny Del Negro	59	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.23	-21	-9	-12	15.4	16.4	-0.95	14.9	14.7	0.22
Sean Elliott	50	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-15	0	16.2	15.3	0.89	14.4	15.3	-0.94
Tim Duncan	61	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.30	-26	-4	-22	15.7	16.0	-0.36	14.7	15.1	-0.36

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clyde Drexler	56	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.20	21	9	12	15.1	14.5	0.61	15.3	16.6	-1.25
Charles Barkley	65	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	11	8	14.6	15.3	-0.71	16.5	14.1	2.39
Emanual Davis	52	52	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.20	19	11	8	14.3	15.5	-1.18	16.5	15.0	1.55
Mario Elie	50	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	15	0	15.0	14.6	0.46	15.3	16.4	-1.17
Kevin Willis	54	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	18	-6	15.0	14.6	0.41	15.8	15.7	0.11
Eddie Johnson	33	33	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.20	14	16	-2	14.6	14.9	-0.30	17.6	14.8	2.81
Matt Bullard	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.36	19	11	8	14.8	14.8	-0.05	15.8	15.8	-0.04
Matt Maloney	41	43	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.18	11	19	-8	15.5	14.3	1.18	15.0	16.5	-1.55
Charles Jones	21	21	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.12	9	21	-12	15.0	14.8	0.22	13.0	16.6	-3.66
Rodrick Rhodes	37	38	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.18	9	21	-12	14.5	15.1	-0.61	16.6	15.3	1.25
Othella Harrington	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	14.7	14.9	-0.17	14.4	16.1	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 67, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
ORL 97, TOR 121	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MIA 102, DEN 130	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%