NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	137		Excitement	4.7 [814]		MVP	Jordan Poole (NOP): +31.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	156		Comeback	3.2 [594]		LVP	Cody Williams (UTA): -5.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bez Mbeng	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.03	0.06	18	68%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
John Konchar	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kennedy Chandler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	-0.01	0.08	18	70%	0.11	3	-0.06	8	87%	-0.00
Oscar Tshiebwe	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Hinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Filipowski	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brice Sensabaugh	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	17	47%	0.00	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Cody Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	17	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.21	0.07	-0.03	23	68%	0.35	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jeremiah Fears	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.02	0.07	29	63%	0.19	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Micah Peavy	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	13	77%	0.13	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.18	0.00	0.11	16	78%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derik Queen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	9	71%	0.10	7	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Hunter Dickinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Oduro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Trey Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.4	24.3	13.7	27.4	0.0	28.8	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.7	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +37.3%

NOP +9.8%

NOP +0.2%

NOP +3.2%

UTA -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOP	NBA	UTA	NOP	NBA
this game	12.2	11.4	14.2	112.3	127.9	113.6
season	13.9	14.0		111.5	112.2
opponent	14.1	13.6		116.6	119.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	11.6	12.3	14.4	10.8	12.2
NOP	12.3	12.1	10.4	10.7	11.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Hinson	71	71	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-24	29	11.1	13.8	-2.70	11.8	10.8	0.96
Kyle Filipowski	67	67	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.40	-16	-3	-13	12.0	12.5	-0.47	12.6	9.8	2.78
Oscar Tshiebwe	114	115	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	0	-19	12.3	10.7	1.57	11.3	13.0	-1.74
Bez Mbeng	122	122	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	0	-19	12.2	0.0	12.21	11.4	0.0	11.36
John Konchar	122	122	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	0	-19	12.2	0.0	12.21	11.4	0.0	11.36
Kennedy Chandler	122	122	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	0	-19	12.2	0.0	12.21	11.4	0.0	11.36
Cody Williams	84	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.02	-20	1	-21	12.8	11.0	1.76	11.5	11.0	0.52
Brice Sensabaugh	82	82	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	0.38	-41	22	-63	12.7	11.3	1.36	11.6	10.8	0.87

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derik Queen	113	114	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.14	26	-7	33	11.4	11.1	0.27	12.2	11.7	0.50
Jeremiah Fears	111	112	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.34	33	-14	47	11.3	11.6	-0.30	12.6	7.5	5.13
Jordan Hawkins	105	105	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.05	22	-3	25	11.4	10.8	0.62	12.1	12.8	-0.71
Josh Oduro	110	110	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.23	28	-9	37	11.5	10.1	1.42	12.5	9.7	2.73
Kevon Looney	78	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.27	29	-10	39	11.7	10.8	0.85	13.1	10.6	2.45
Jordan Poole	105	106	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.33	31	-12	43	11.4	10.8	0.62	12.6	9.4	3.19
Micah Peavy	121	120	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	2	15	11.4	10.0	1.37	12.2	11.0	1.23
Hunter Dickinson	58	57	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	8	3	11.4	11.3	0.07	13.0	11.5	1.54
Trey Alexander	66	68	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.12	4	15	-11	11.7	11.0	0.70	11.3	13.3	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.56,0.71,0.77,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 73, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
TOR 100, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.84,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.1%
BOS 102, WAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.76,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%