NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	123		Excitement	5.8 [380]		MVP	Quentin Grimes (PHI): +22.5%
Dallas Mavericks	108		Comeback	2.1 [367]		LVP	Cooper Flagg (DAL): -9.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23	0.21	0.05	0.04	9	106%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.07	0.02	24	68%	0.24	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
VJ Edgecombe	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.18	0.05	0.06	14	74%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Joel Embiid	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	18	54%	0.15	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adem Bona	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	11	54%	0.06	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jabari Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared McCain	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	7	60%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	13	64%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	65%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Nembhard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	15	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	13	46%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Cooper Flagg	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	15	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	0.5	32.4	13.4	26.9	0.5	24.6	120.6
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +57.4%

DAL -6.9%

DAL -11.3%

PHI +10.7%

PHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.7	14.2	121.8	103.8	113.4
season	14.6	13.8		113.8	109.5
opponent	14.1	13.9		111.8	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.3	13.2	13.0	16.2	14.3
DAL	12.9	16.8	12.8	12.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adem Bona	63	62	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.11	18	-3	21	13.6	15.6	-1.93	14.3	12.9	1.48
Tyrese Maxey	89	91	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.04	18	-3	21	14.7	12.1	2.57	13.9	12.5	1.46
VJ Edgecombe	101	104	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	0	15	14.3	0.0	14.35	13.7	0.0	13.74
Quentin Grimes	101	104	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	0	15	14.3	0.0	14.35	13.7	0.0	13.74
Joel Embiid	101	104	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	0	15	14.3	0.0	14.35	13.7	0.0	13.74
Paul George	101	104	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	0	15	14.3	0.0	14.35	13.7	0.0	13.74
Dominick Barlow	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	6	3	14.0	14.8	-0.85	14.1	13.3	0.76
Andre Drummond	38	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	7	1	14.6	14.2	0.41	14.3	13.4	0.86
Jared McCain	68	69	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	15	-15	13.8	15.5	-1.65	13.1	15.0	-1.90
Jabari Walker	19	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	21	-27	16.7	13.8	2.88	12.7	14.0	-1.23

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	63	62	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.11	8	-23	31	12.7	15.3	-2.56	14.0	14.9	-0.90
Jaden Hardy	39	38	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-20	25	12.4	14.5	-2.09	13.5	14.8	-1.31
Brandon Williams	87	84	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-9	3	13.0	17.6	-4.67	14.5	13.8	0.63
Caleb Martin	8	9	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-4	-7	16.0	13.6	2.45	11.6	14.6	-3.06
Naji Marshall	82	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-10	5	13.5	14.8	-1.31	13.8	16.4	-2.63
Klay Thompson	72	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-3	-9	14.3	12.5	1.79	13.8	15.6	-1.78
Ryan Nembhard	49	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	-2	-11	15.3	12.4	2.92	14.9	13.8	1.07
Anthony Davis	87	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	-1	-13	13.8	13.3	0.53	14.8	12.1	2.64
Max Christie	78	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.02	-17	2	-19	14.3	12.1	2.22	15.1	11.8	3.30
P.J. Washington	98	95	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.00	-18	3	-21	13.9	11.3	2.55	14.4	13.3	1.08
Cooper Flagg	97	95	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	0	-15	13.8	13.4	0.33	14.6	10.8	3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	94.7%
SAS 98, VAN 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.7%
OKC 113, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0	93.9%