NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	143		Excitement	6.4 [219]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +39.8%
Golden State Warriors	133		Comeback	1.0 [362]		LVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (DAL): -9.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0.40	0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.35	0.05	0.01	23	82%	0.48	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24	0.27	0.03	0.05	14	88%	0.26	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	16	57%	0.16	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Quentin Grimes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	7	71%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	72%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Dwight Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jazian Gortman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.03	-0.01	20	67%	0.22	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.02	15	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.01	0.03	19	67%	0.16	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	71%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	66%	0.13	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Pat Spencer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	11	41%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	26.6	15.3	31.5	2.4	32.3	134.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +43.2%

DAL +4.7%

DAL +9.0%

GSW -9.0%

DAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	14.2	14.3	138.8	131.7	112.0
season	14.0	13.9		115.9	111.3
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.1	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.0	14.5	13.1	15.7	14.0
GSW	14.7	14.3	13.6	14.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Washington	75	72	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.11	20	-10	30	13.7	14.7	-0.93	14.8	12.9	1.88
Luka Doncic	80	78	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.08	18	-8	26	14.1	13.8	0.28	14.8	12.2	2.62
Klay Thompson	60	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.01	21	-11	32	13.8	14.2	-0.40	15.0	13.0	2.05
Dereck Lively II	65	63	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	0	10	13.8	14.4	-0.63	14.9	13.2	1.73
Kyrie Irving	77	74	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	0	10	13.7	14.8	-1.13	14.3	14.0	0.37
Daniel Gafford	37	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	10	-10	14.2	13.9	0.30	13.3	14.8	-1.45
Spencer Dinwiddie	47	46	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.30	-8	18	-26	14.0	14.0	0.04	13.4	14.9	-1.55
Dwight Powell	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	22.0	13.9	8.08	10.5	14.3	-3.81
Jazian Gortman	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	22.0	13.9	8.08	10.5	14.3	-3.81
Kessler Edwards	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	22.0	13.9	8.08	10.5	14.3	-3.81
Quentin Grimes	43	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	21	-32	14.2	13.8	0.40	13.0	15.0	-2.05
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	28	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	20	-30	14.7	13.7	0.93	12.9	14.8	-1.88

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindy Waters III	45	46	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.28	13	-23	36	13.3	15.0	-1.67	15.1	13.1	2.00
Gary Payton II	25	25	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-16	22	13.0	14.7	-1.70	14.4	13.9	0.48
Pat Spencer	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	10.5	14.3	-3.81	22.0	13.9	8.08
Trayce Jackson-Davis	31	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-12	14	13.0	14.8	-1.83	14.5	13.8	0.78
Draymond Green	60	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-14	18	13.8	14.9	-1.08	14.7	13.0	1.70
Brandin Podziemski	33	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.13	-1	-9	8	13.3	14.7	-1.39	14.9	13.6	1.27
Stephen Curry	74	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	0	-10	14.4	13.9	0.48	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Jonathan Kuminga	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	0	-10	14.8	13.4	1.39	13.9	14.2	-0.36
Kevon Looney	46	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	5	-20	15.3	13.4	1.88	13.1	14.8	-1.76
Andrew Wiggins	68	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.01	-20	10	-30	14.9	12.8	2.06	13.8	14.4	-0.54
Buddy Hield	59	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.04	-19	9	-28	14.9	13.2	1.71	12.6	15.9	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.08,0.11,0.2,0.08,0.1,0.22,0.34,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0	94.2%
DAL 104, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.24,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
PHX 92, WAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%