NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	86		Excitement	8.0 [308]		MVP	Wendell Moore Jr. (CHA): +19.7%
Boston Celtics	93		Comeback	1.1 [1083]		LVP	Damion Baugh (CHA): -27.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wendell Moore Jr.	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.11	-0.02	5	80%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	10	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
DaQuan Jeffries	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	12	44%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Okogie	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	10	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Sims	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Moussa Diabate	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.00	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.06
Tidjane Salaun	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.11	-0.01	11	21%	-0.11	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
KJ Simpson	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	6	17%	-0.16	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Damion Baugh	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.26,-0.27	-0.13	-0.17	-0.03	10	30%	-0.09	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.03	9	71%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.03	0.03	25	65%	0.26	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	9	55%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	71%	0.19	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
JD Davison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	11	41%	0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Miles Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Baylor Scheierman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	14	23%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	23.4	14.6	28.1	2.4	27.5	120.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +39.1%

CHA -1.7%

CHA -2.3%

BOS +8.9%

BOS +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	16.1	14.4	95.6	100.0	113.0
season	15.0	15.3		106.2	118.3
opponent	14.6	14.2		109.2	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.8	15.0	16.0	14.5	15.3
BOS	14.2	17.0	16.0	17.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	34	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-4	1	14.8	15.7	-0.91	17.0	15.6	1.42
Taj Gibson	18	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-9	11	16.3	15.1	1.25	17.7	15.7	2.00
Moussa Diabate	43	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-11	15	15.7	15.0	0.70	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Wendell Moore Jr.	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-9	11	15.7	15.2	0.45	17.5	15.6	1.96
Damion Baugh	45	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-12	17	15.6	15.1	0.53	16.4	15.9	0.50
Jaylen Sims	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	15.3	15.4	-0.11	14.2	17.6	-3.34
Jusuf Nurkic	56	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	3	-13	14.7	16.3	-1.59	16.5	15.6	0.89
DaQuan Jeffries	54	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	3	-13	15.1	15.7	-0.69	17.0	14.9	2.12
Tidjane Salaun	70	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	15.4	15.0	0.43	15.6	17.7	-2.09
KJ Simpson	64	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.05	-14	7	-21	15.5	15.0	0.52	15.3	18.0	-2.72

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Neemias Queta	48	48	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-4	15	16.5	15.7	0.81	15.6	15.0	0.54
Baylor Scheierman	71	68	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-3	13	16.1	16.1	0.05	15.0	16.2	-1.18
Payton Pritchard	76	73	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-1	9	16.5	14.6	1.89	15.0	16.6	-1.55
JD Davison	32	31	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	0	7	17.3	15.5	1.80	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Jordan Walsh	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	8	-9	15.6	16.5	-0.89	15.2	15.5	-0.29
Luke Kornet	58	55	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	6	-5	16.8	15.0	1.76	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Torrey Craig	39	37	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	4	-1	15.2	16.8	-1.64	15.4	15.3	0.12
Sam Hauser	56	54	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	5	-3	15.0	17.8	-2.84	15.8	14.7	1.11
Drew Peterson	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	10	-13	16.1	16.1	-0.05	16.2	15.0	1.18
Miles Norris	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	10	-13	16.1	16.1	-0.05	16.2	15.0	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.57,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 79, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	91.6%
MIL 99, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.99,1	91.4%
CLE 84, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.83,1	90.9%