NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	130		Excitement	6.9 [478]		MVP	Quentin Grimes (PHI): +20.9%
Dallas Mavericks	125		Comeback	3.3 [186]		LVP	Brandon Williams (DAL): -7.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.21	0.10	0.12	0.01	19	60%	0.29	3	-0.08	9	67%	0.02
Jalen Hood-Schifino	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.16	0.02	0.00	11	79%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alex Reese	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	-0.00	12	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	64%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chuma Okeke	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	0.00	0.05	0.01	7	44%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Oshae Brissett	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Justin Edwards	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	17	67%	0.25	4	-0.14	9	78%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	8	90%	0.19	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.03	15	70%	0.16	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.04	0.03	15	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	20	46%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	8	52%	0.02	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	28.5	14.7	27.3	2.4	32.4	130.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +10.6%

PHI +12.8%

PHI +5.0%

PHI +22.4%

DAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	14.4	13.1	14.4	123.8	120.2	113.0
season	15.0	14.3		110.4	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.2		114.4	116.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	12.8	15.2	16.0	14.4
DAL	13.5	10.8	14.2	14.6	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Grimes	74	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-9	23	13.9	15.5	-1.62	12.5	14.5	-2.00
Guerschon Yabusele	64	61	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	-5	15	15.0	13.5	1.47	12.8	13.6	-0.75
Jared Butler	64	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	-1	7	13.9	15.2	-1.37	12.6	14.0	-1.37
Jalen Hood-Schifino	51	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-1	7	13.5	15.3	-1.79	12.9	13.4	-0.58
Oshae Brissett	53	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	1	3	13.9	14.9	-1.06	13.5	12.8	0.70
Alex Reese	38	40	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	0	5	13.3	15.0	-1.67	13.9	12.6	1.31
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	41	41	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	6	-7	15.2	13.9	1.37	14.0	12.6	1.37
Ricky Council IV	62	58	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.29	-7	12	-19	14.9	13.7	1.24	12.8	13.6	-0.87
Justin Edwards	47	43	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	8	-11	15.4	13.6	1.80	13.4	13.0	0.47
Chuma Okeke	31	33	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.18	-9	14	-23	15.5	13.9	1.62	14.3	12.6	1.70

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Williams	69	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-6	7	13.1	13.3	-0.26	15.3	12.8	2.48
Kessler Edwards	57	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-3	1	13.3	12.9	0.38	14.2	14.7	-0.59
Max Christie	69	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.28	1	-6	7	12.4	14.7	-2.32	14.1	14.9	-0.74
Naji Marshall	81	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-8	11	12.4	15.9	-3.50	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Dwight Powell	26	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	7	-19	14.4	12.7	1.71	13.7	14.7	-1.00
P.J. Washington	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-1	-3	13.0	13.5	-0.50	15.0	13.4	1.59
Klay Thompson	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	1	-7	13.9	11.2	2.73	13.7	16.2	-2.48
Spencer Dinwiddie	75	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	1	-7	13.6	12.0	1.63	14.6	13.9	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 110, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
CHI 105, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
DEN 104, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%