NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	120		Excitement	6.9 [477]		MVP	CJ McCollum (NOP): +44.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	132		Comeback	2.0 [791]		LVP	Jonas Valanciunas (WAS): -16.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Kispert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	57%	0.11	1	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Alexandre Sarr	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	13	61%	0.08	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	18	59%	0.13	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	8	78%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Jared Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.04
Kyshawn George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Carlton Carrington	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	9	45%	-0.04	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.44	0.10	0.09	27	86%	0.47	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Brandon Boston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	7	81%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	6	83%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.04	7	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	19	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	41%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	27.6	14.7	28.7	1.8	32.4	132.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +22.0%

NOP +2.9%

WAS -11.3%

NOP +37.1%

WAS -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NOP	NBA	WAS	NOP	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	14.4	117.6	126.9	113.0
season	14.0	14.4		105.3	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.1		118.3	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.4	13.2	15.0	14.4	13.7
NOP	12.4	16.1	15.0	13.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Poole	66	68	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-11	10	12.7	15.6	-2.93	14.6	13.5	1.13
Jared Butler	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	17.0	13.6	3.35	16.5	14.2	2.30
Anthony Gill	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	17.0	13.6	3.35	16.5	14.2	2.30
Johnny Davis	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	17.0	13.6	3.35	16.5	14.2	2.30
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	17.0	13.6	3.35	16.5	14.2	2.30
Jonas Valanciunas	39	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-14	16	15.6	12.6	2.99	14.0	14.4	-0.36
Malcolm Brogdon	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-13	14	14.4	13.0	1.46	13.9	14.6	-0.72
Kyshawn George	34	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-10	8	14.9	13.1	1.75	14.1	14.3	-0.24
Justin Champagnie	65	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-5	-2	13.0	15.0	-2.02	14.6	13.7	0.88
Corey Kispert	44	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	-4	-4	15.8	12.1	3.74	13.5	14.8	-1.32
Kyle Kuzma	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	1	-14	12.7	15.3	-2.58	14.3	14.1	0.15
Alexandre Sarr	61	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	5	-22	12.4	15.6	-3.21	14.3	14.1	0.18
Carlton Carrington	77	79	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	0.02	-27	15	-42	13.6	14.2	-0.64	14.2	14.5	-0.37

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Herbert Jones	72	71	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.11	27	-15	42	14.0	14.9	-0.92	13.8	13.6	0.19
Jose Alvarado	40	40	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.07	16	-4	20	13.4	14.8	-1.37	15.5	12.6	2.94
CJ McCollum	64	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	-9	30	14.5	13.9	0.55	13.8	13.6	0.15
Daniel Theis	32	31	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	3	6	13.1	14.7	-1.61	15.6	12.9	2.77
Brandon Boston	54	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	3	6	14.6	13.9	0.73	15.3	12.0	3.30
Yves Missi	72	70	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	9	-6	14.7	13.1	1.61	13.1	15.2	-2.10
Jordan Hawkins	39	36	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	18	-24	13.7	14.6	-0.84	13.1	14.1	-1.02
Dejounte Murray	64	62	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	16	-20	14.8	13.4	1.37	12.6	15.5	-2.94
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	6	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	16	-20	11.3	14.4	-3.09	13.6	13.7	-0.15
Trey Murphy III	77	75	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	23	-34	14.6	13.3	1.28	12.6	16.7	-4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.71,0.77,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 78, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.3%
HOU 73, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.2%
SAS 106, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.0%