NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	6.7 [477]		MVP	Sam Merrill (CLE): +26.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.4 [303]		LVP	Georges Niang (CLE): -12.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	22	64%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.15	0.01	0.12	-0.02	12	54%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.01	15	61%	0.20	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	74%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Miles McBride	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.04	15	53%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.26	0.19	0.07	-0.00	13	81%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	14	68%	0.18	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	13	63%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.01	13	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	11	52%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.8	25.0	14.4	25.3	2.8	30.0	126.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +34.1%

NYK +8.8%

CLE -3.0%

NYK +7.6%

NYK +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	14.5	116.3	106.5	113.9
season	15.6	14.8		116.8	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		111.3	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.5	15.0	14.8	19.9	16.1
CLE	14.0	14.4	17.2	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	87	87	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.15	16	-7	23	16.0	19.2	-3.25	15.2	14.2	1.03
Miles McBride	90	90	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-2	13	16.0	22.5	-6.51	15.3	9.0	6.31
Jericho Sims	41	43	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	-8	25	15.0	17.0	-2.00	15.3	15.1	0.20
Donte DiVincenzo	75	75	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.20	9	0	9	16.4	14.9	1.46	14.9	16.5	-1.59
Precious Achiuwa	41	41	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-3	15	15.5	16.6	-1.12	16.6	14.0	2.55
Isaiah Hartenstein	43	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	12	-15	17.7	14.7	2.99	15.3	15.1	0.17
Bojan Bogdanovic	59	59	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.27	-8	17	-25	16.2	16.1	0.11	14.1	17.2	-3.13
Jalen Brunson	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	11	-13	22.5	16.0	6.51	9.0	15.3	-6.31
Alec Burks	22	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	16	-23	15.9	16.2	-0.29	16.0	14.9	1.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Porter Jr.	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-6	3	14.9	15.2	-0.35	11.6	17.4	-5.79
Dean Wade	39	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	15.6	14.9	0.72	15.9	16.3	-0.44
Georges Niang	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-3	-3	14.8	15.4	-0.55	14.2	17.1	-2.93
Evan Mobley	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	14.9	15.6	-0.75	15.6	16.9	-1.32
Sam Merrill	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-9	9	14.7	15.9	-1.29	16.4	15.8	0.63
Isaac Okoro	64	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-5	1	15.3	14.9	0.46	17.3	13.5	3.78
Max Strus	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	1	-11	15.4	14.7	0.70	15.0	18.2	-3.20
Darius Garland	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	15.2	14.9	0.35	17.4	11.6	5.79
Jarrett Allen	65	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	15.4	14.6	0.88	17.3	13.0	4.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.35,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 86, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.02,0	93.6%
MIL 106, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0	93.5%
WAS 104, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.02,0	93.4%