NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	105		Excitement	7.1 [420]		MVP	Simone Fontecchio (DET): +31.6%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	3.5 [92]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -15.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Simone Fontecchio	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.13	0.17	-0.02	12	71%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.16	0.09	0.00	13	79%	0.35	3	-0.10	7	71%	0.02
Ausar Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Jaden Ivey	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	7	68%	0.10	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
James Wiseman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	9	64%	0.03	5	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.01	16	64%	0.22	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	14	67%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.05	-0.00	23	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	0.01	-0.01	14	29%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	9	22%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	4	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	14	28%	-0.13	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	26.4	14.6	25.8	2.4	28.3	124.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +85.7%

CHI -5.9%

CHI -0.8%

CHI -31.9%

DET +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	15.6	14.5	110.5	99.0	113.9
season	14.2	14.5		108.4	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.3		115.1	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.2	13.6	13.1	16.3	14.5
CHI	14.8	15.8	16.9	15.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Stewart	66	70	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.11	24	-14	38	14.3	15.1	-0.87	16.0	14.7	1.26
Cade Cunningham	69	72	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.12	23	-13	36	14.8	14.0	0.79	16.1	14.2	1.82
Jalen Duren	60	62	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.09	24	-14	38	14.3	15.0	-0.69	16.2	14.5	1.73
Jaden Ivey	66	69	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.08	24	-14	38	14.1	15.6	-1.56	16.0	14.7	1.22
Ausar Thompson	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	-4	18	14.5	14.7	-0.16	15.8	15.1	0.75
Evan Fournier	13	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	15	-20	13.2	14.8	-1.60	13.7	15.9	-2.23
Simone Fontecchio	42	41	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.23	-13	23	-36	15.5	13.8	1.64	15.2	15.9	-0.65
Quentin Grimes	29	27	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.13	-14	24	-38	15.6	14.1	1.56	14.7	16.0	-1.22
James Wiseman	35	34	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.12	-14	24	-38	15.0	14.3	0.69	14.5	16.2	-1.73
Malachi Flynn	26	24	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.09	-13	23	-36	14.0	14.8	-0.79	14.2	16.1	-1.82

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	56	54	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.13	8	-18	26	15.0	16.5	-1.47	15.5	13.2	2.32
Alex Caruso	51	52	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-15	20	15.6	15.6	0.03	13.2	16.1	-2.84
Dalen Terry	29	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.24	6	-16	22	15.7	15.6	0.16	16.7	13.7	3.08
Terry Taylor	6	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-7	4	17.0	15.5	1.48	13.0	14.7	-1.68
Jevon Carter	23	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-5	0	15.1	15.8	-0.69	14.5	14.6	-0.11
DeMar DeRozan	79	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	15.3	17.3	-2.04	14.2	16.4	-2.14
Coby White	86	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	5	-20	15.6	15.9	-0.32	14.3	16.5	-2.17
Ayo Dosunmu	77	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.06	-18	8	-26	15.9	14.5	1.36	14.6	14.2	0.46
Nikola Vucevic	73	71	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.12	-21	11	-32	16.2	13.7	2.58	14.6	14.3	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.57,0.53,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.24,0.13,0.04,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 97, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0	92.6%
GSW 116, DET 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.29,0.32,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.37,0.15,0.05,0,0,0.02,0,0	91.7%
DAL 102, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	91.2%