NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	114		Excitement	6.5 [514]		MVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): +10.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	118		Comeback	2.2 [875]		LVP	Jonathan Isaac (ORL): -10.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.05	0.03	23	58%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Cole Anthony	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	-0.01	-0.06	17	49%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Moritz Wagner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.03	0.03	15	70%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	11	56%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Black	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Paolo Banchero	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.05	17	52%	0.02	2	-0.05	10	80%	-0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	27%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	17	55%	0.14	3	-0.06	10	100%	0.06
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	7	87%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	-0.00	-0.06	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	58%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	25	54%	0.16	5	-0.15	19	79%	-0.01
MarJon Beauchamp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	30.3	15.5	30.4	2.5	40.6	145.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +20.2%

MIL +27.2%

MIL +17.8%

ORL -14.9%

ORL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.2	13.6	14.5	110.7	113.5	113.9
season	15.1	14.3		111.8	117.0
opponent	14.3	14.4		114.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.7	16.1	14.9	12.4	14.2
MIL	12.9	12.7	14.5	14.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moritz Wagner	57	57	0.30	-0.80	1.09	-0.38	23	-27	50	14.3	14.2	0.11	13.7	13.5	0.23
Caleb Houstan	37	37	0.17	-0.68	0.85	-0.12	10	-14	24	15.0	13.8	1.24	14.8	13.0	1.80
Cole Anthony	68	71	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.32	16	-20	36	13.8	15.0	-1.21	13.9	13.0	0.92
Jonathan Isaac	27	28	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-10	16	16.1	13.6	2.55	15.2	13.0	2.26
Franz Wagner	83	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	3	-10	14.6	12.8	1.72	13.5	14.2	-0.69
Paolo Banchero	76	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	6	-16	13.6	16.1	-2.55	13.0	15.2	-2.26
Anthony Black	44	41	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.04	-20	16	-36	14.7	13.8	0.90	13.2	13.9	-0.70
Gary Harris	77	78	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	7	-18	13.6	16.2	-2.67	13.1	15.0	-1.82
Wendell Carter Jr.	46	47	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.00	-27	23	-50	14.2	14.3	-0.11	13.5	13.7	-0.23

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	81	80	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.25	17	-13	30	13.6	13.5	0.15	14.1	14.6	-0.48
Malik Beasley	63	63	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-11	26	13.2	14.2	-0.99	13.7	15.0	-1.29
Damian Lillard	80	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-5	14	13.1	15.2	-2.04	13.2	17.5	-4.26
Giannis Antetokounmpo	83	83	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-5	14	13.2	15.0	-1.82	13.7	16.5	-2.81
Khris Middleton	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-7	18	13.8	13.3	0.46	14.7	13.6	1.08
Pat Connaughton	45	44	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.25	-6	10	-16	13.7	13.5	0.20	13.3	14.9	-1.64
MarJon Beauchamp	22	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	8	-12	14.0	13.5	0.45	16.3	13.6	2.61
Cameron Payne	24	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	9	-14	15.2	13.1	2.04	17.5	13.2	4.26
Andre Jackson Jr.	15	13	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	12	-20	13.6	13.6	0.00	14.2	14.2	-0.00
Bobby Portis	44	43	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.19	-18	22	-40	14.2	13.1	1.09	15.5	13.3	2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.62,0.58,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 107, GSW 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.9,0.91,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%
WAS 104, CHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.7,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.0%
ORL 93, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	92.9%