NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	114		Excitement	9.3 [117]		MVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): +49.5%
Charlotte Hornets	117		Comeback	27.9 [91]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (CHA): -23.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.01	9	75%	0.25	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.02	22	62%	0.18	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	65%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Landry Shamet	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	47%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Corey Kispert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	0.01	7	40%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Johnny Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.01	12	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.1,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.12	-0.05	21	52%	0.15	3	-0.21	4	100%	0.03
Danilo Gallinari	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	5	8%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.00	-0.16	-0.00	6	47%	-0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.21,0.49	0.49	0.19	0.34	0.03	18	72%	0.66	3	-0.16	10	80%	-0.06
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.00	0.01	5	108%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.03	12	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,-0.01,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.09	0.05	31	52%	0.25	4	-0.17	3	67%	0.04
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	-0.00	10	42%	-0.14	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	8	25%	-0.11	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	25.1	13.8	30.5	2.0	34.0	131.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +45.3%

CHA +2.7%

CHA +21.1%

WAS -18.0%

WAS -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	13.8	14.6	14.5	112.9	114.7	113.9
season	13.7	14.8		109.8	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.1		118.7	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.8	15.2	12.4	14.7	13.8
CHA	16.0	14.8	15.3	12.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deni Avdija	58	57	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.06	3	-6	9	14.4	12.9	1.57	15.2	13.9	1.33
Landry Shamet	36	37	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-4	5	15.2	13.0	2.27	13.9	15.0	-1.08
Corey Kispert	38	39	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.15	-3	0	-3	13.4	14.0	-0.51	15.1	14.3	0.84
Johnny Davis	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	3	-9	15.5	13.5	2.00	14.0	14.7	-0.68
Daniel Gafford	73	74	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.58	15	-18	33	13.4	14.7	-1.32	14.7	14.4	0.25
Kyle Kuzma	75	77	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.58	13	-16	29	13.4	14.9	-1.56	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Tyus Jones	74	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.58	10	-13	23	13.5	14.6	-1.13	14.5	14.8	-0.28
Danilo Gallinari	28	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	15	-33	14.7	13.4	1.32	14.4	14.7	-0.25
Jordan Poole	71	71	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.40	-14	11	-25	13.8	13.7	0.04	14.4	15.0	-0.56
Bilal Coulibaly	41	41	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.40	-16	13	-29	12.6	14.5	-1.94	14.6	14.6	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Williams	75	75	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.46	6	-3	9	14.4	15.1	-0.73	13.6	14.1	-0.48
LaMelo Ball	85	86	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-1	5	14.2	16.8	-2.59	14.1	11.9	2.15
Miles Bridges	80	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.53	-1	4	-5	14.8	14.0	0.78	13.2	15.7	-2.51
Brandon Miller	67	66	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.52	-2	5	-7	14.8	14.2	0.62	13.5	14.3	-0.80
Ish Smith	41	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	-11	25	15.3	14.1	1.23	13.9	13.7	0.22
Bryce McGowens	47	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	-8	19	14.1	15.0	-0.85	14.9	12.8	2.08
JT Thor	46	46	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.18	7	-4	11	14.5	14.7	-0.12	15.1	12.7	2.39
Gordon Hayward	66	64	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.55	-18	21	-39	14.8	14.2	0.60	12.7	15.6	-2.85
Nick Smith Jr.	3	2	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	9	-15	16.0	14.6	1.43	10.0	13.8	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.78,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.4,0.19,0.46,0.69,0.74,1	91.1%
BOS 95, MIA 98	0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.16,0.3,0.35,0.6,0.61,0.87,0.78,0.74,1	90.7%
ORL 84, MEM 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.67,0.42,1	90.1%