NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	130		Excitement	8.2 [243]		MVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): +56.1%
Atlanta Hawks	127		Comeback	3.1 [241]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -12.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.56	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56	0.30	0.27	0.00	15	89%	0.56	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.42	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.23	0.20	0.02	17	74%	0.42	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Cody Martin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	11	73%	0.20	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Ish Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	14	64%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	15	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
James Bouknight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	54%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
JT Thor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35	0.35	0.26	0.10	0.02	14	90%	0.43	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.00	12	65%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.14	-0.06	0.04	22	63%	0.12	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Solomon Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.11,-0.12,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	22	52%	0.04	6	-0.17	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.6	26.0	14.8	26.7	0.8	30.8	126.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +35.5%

CHA +10.1%

ATL -14.8%

CHA +17.9%

CHA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	13.3	15.5	14.5	130.0	127.0	110.8
season	14.0	14.6		112.9	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.5		113.2	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.8	12.6	12.1	14.7	13.3
ATL	15.5	16.2	16.2	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Martin	66	67	1.06	-0.56	1.61	0.41	22	-19	41	12.6	14.7	-2.13	16.3	13.8	2.56
P.J. Washington	78	81	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.38	17	-14	31	12.9	14.7	-1.83	15.6	15.2	0.42
Miles Bridges	83	83	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	-1	5	13.2	13.7	-0.49	15.9	13.4	2.52
Ish Smith	67	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	5	-7	13.6	12.7	0.95	15.1	16.2	-1.10
James Bouknight	11	11	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	-8	19	13.1	13.3	-0.23	18.7	15.1	3.63
Kelly Oubre Jr.	82	82	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.40	-16	19	-35	13.6	11.8	1.79	14.9	18.4	-3.52
JT Thor	25	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	14.4	12.9	1.47	14.6	15.8	-1.20
Gordon Hayward	72	68	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	12	-21	13.2	13.7	-0.53	15.0	16.6	-1.56
Nick Richards	16	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	11	-19	14.8	13.0	1.80	15.4	15.5	-0.12

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	32	33	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.14	-1	-2	1	15.2	15.6	-0.37	13.9	13.0	0.86
Solomon Hill	8	7	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-6	9	14.9	15.6	-0.68	16.1	13.1	3.06
Clint Capela	64	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-7	11	14.7	17.0	-2.30	13.8	12.4	1.43
Danilo Gallinari	57	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	3	-9	15.9	15.0	0.96	13.2	13.5	-0.28
Delon Wright	31	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	9	-21	17.0	14.8	2.17	13.1	13.4	-0.24
Kevin Huerter	71	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-6	9	15.7	14.9	0.85	13.1	13.6	-0.50
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	80	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.50	3	-6	9	15.1	17.1	-2.06	13.4	12.9	0.43
John Collins	79	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	1	-5	15.9	14.1	1.78	13.0	14.5	-1.48
Trae Young	78	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	2	-7	15.3	16.3	-1.05	12.9	14.6	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.34,0.36,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.2,0.21,0.01,0,0	91.6%
PHX 94, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.25,0.07,0,0,0	90.4%
UTA 92, DEN 81	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.37,0.06,0.02,0	90.2%