NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	132		Excitement	3.0 [1175]		MVP	John Collins (ATL): +12.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	100		Comeback	1.2 [776]		LVP	Lou Williams (ATL): -6.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.01	0.05	11	84%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.19	0.00	0.08	16	84%	0.16	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.15	0.00	0.11	14	72%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Cam Reddish	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	58%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	4	80%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	77%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Killian Tillie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	58%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	71%	-0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	-0.01	-0.07	9	44%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.14	0.00	0.14	8	106%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	12	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	15	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	15	41%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	8	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	25.8	14.8	27.7	0.8	23.4	122.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +46.5%

ATL +1.7%

ATL +9.2%

MEM -5.8%

MEM -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MEM	NBA	ATL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	13.6	14.5	129.4	99.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.1		114.3	112.9
opponent	14.3	14.5		107.8	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.5	13.4	13.7	18.9	14.7
MEM	15.3	13.3	13.4	12.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	51	52	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.51	35	-3	38	12.3	17.2	-4.82	14.8	12.3	2.52
Bogdan Bogdanovic	58	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.62	36	-4	40	13.0	17.1	-4.13	14.2	12.8	1.39
Trae Young	61	60	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.61	34	-2	36	13.0	17.4	-4.38	14.1	12.9	1.30
Clint Capela	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.62	33	-1	34	14.1	15.8	-1.62	13.9	13.2	0.62
Kevin Huerter	56	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.62	32	0	32	13.3	16.5	-3.20	14.3	12.8	1.58
Cam Reddish	59	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	28	-24	15.5	13.8	1.69	13.2	14.3	-1.09
Delon Wright	41	41	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.18	-2	34	-36	17.4	13.0	4.38	12.9	14.1	-1.30
Danilo Gallinari	43	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	33	-34	16.6	13.4	3.13	12.7	14.3	-1.57
Lou Williams	30	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.31	-10	42	-52	17.6	13.6	4.00	12.8	14.0	-1.22
Gorgui Dieng	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	39	-46	18.9	13.5	5.33	12.4	14.0	-1.54
Solomon Hill	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	29	-26	16.7	14.5	2.18	12.1	13.8	-1.72
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	29	-26	16.7	14.5	2.18	12.1	13.8	-1.72

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Tillman	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-39	46	12.4	14.0	-1.54	18.9	13.5	5.33
Santi Aldama	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-39	46	12.4	14.0	-1.54	18.9	13.5	5.33
Jarrett Culver	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-39	46	12.4	14.0	-1.54	18.9	13.5	5.33
Killian Tillie	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-39	46	12.4	14.0	-1.54	18.9	13.5	5.33
John Konchar	32	32	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-36	40	12.0	14.4	-2.33	17.6	13.5	4.11
Ja Morant	19	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-26	20	15.7	13.1	2.60	13.7	15.0	-1.31
Brandon Clarke	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.15	-10	-22	12	14.0	13.5	0.45	13.2	15.2	-1.99
Steven Adams	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.30	-16	-16	0	14.0	13.4	0.56	14.9	14.6	0.28
Ziaire Williams	35	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.25	-16	-16	0	12.9	14.0	-1.04	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	49	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.48	-25	-7	-18	13.9	13.3	0.57	13.7	15.8	-2.04
Kyle Anderson	36	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.36	-21	-11	-10	14.6	13.1	1.45	13.0	15.7	-2.70
Tyus Jones	43	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.48	-25	-7	-18	13.8	13.5	0.37	13.5	15.8	-2.29
Dillon Brooks	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.42	-24	-8	-16	13.9	13.4	0.48	13.4	15.7	-2.24
De'Anthony Melton	43	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	-11	-10	13.6	13.6	0.01	12.9	16.2	-3.32
Desmond Bane	50	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.42	-28	-4	-24	14.7	12.6	2.09	13.1	16.4	-3.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, GSW 72	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIA 92, GSW 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
BOS 107, NYK 73	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%