inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 105 Excitement4.8 [873] MVPClint Capela (ATL): +18.5%
Atlanta Hawks 115 Comeback1.1 [1180] LVPKelly Oubre Jr. (CHA): -8.7%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Miles Bridges0.110,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.110.140.000.032857%0.131-0.02560%-0.01
Cody Martin0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.001164%0.0800.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Gordon Hayward0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.01955%0.032-0.032100%0.01
Mason Plumlee-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.030.000.00550%0.002-0.04425%-0.04
Terry Rozier-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.010.001336%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Jalen McDaniels-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.000.01350%-0.003-0.0700%0.00
LaMelo Ball-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.070.010.021839%-0.052-0.042100%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.010.001429%-0.0900.0000%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Clint Capela0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.160.040.011191%0.201-0.0100%0.00
Kevin Huerter0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.150.150.120.02-0.021077%0.171-0.02250%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.01-0.01773%0.131-0.028100%0.04
John Collins0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.021068%0.081-0.02250%-0.00
Cam Reddish0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.050.050.040.010.001361%0.082-0.0320%-0.03
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01939%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Trae Young0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.001551%0.064-0.077100%0.02
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.526.415.329.41.628.5128.1
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +49.5%
ATL +10.8%
CHA -9.9%
ATL +1.4%
CHA -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAATLNBACHAATLNBA
this game14.315.114.5108.2116.2110.8
season14.014.6112.9114.3
opponent14.514.5113.2112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA15.615.313.712.814.3
ATL14.415.315.614.915.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ish Smith1615-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-131613.014.6-1.5614.715.2-0.49
Cody Martin6263-0.09-0.410.32-0.359-192813.615.5-1.9015.813.81.96
Jalen McDaniels3335-0.14-0.360.21-0.171-111214.214.4-0.2216.214.51.78
Kelly Oubre Jr.5555-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-5-5014.613.90.7814.815.4-0.63
LaMelo Ball6971-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.13-7-3-414.214.6-0.4315.214.70.51
Mason Plumlee4041-0.37-0.13-0.250.10-166-2215.713.32.4314.015.9-1.93
Terry Rozier6163-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.03-133-1614.613.80.7814.715.8-1.10
Gordon Hayward7073-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.09-111-1214.314.4-0.1514.815.8-1.04
Miles Bridges7979-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.10-111-1214.115.1-0.9315.314.21.10

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Clint Capela48480.430.070.350.1011-11215.714.51.2214.014.6-0.51
Cam Reddish57550.320.180.140.1755014.515.9-1.3913.914.9-1.03
Kevin Huerter69680.320.180.140.1755015.414.41.0214.015.0-1.00
Danilo Gallinari64620.310.190.120.0782615.414.50.8814.514.00.47
Trae Young71690.260.240.010.2319-815.314.40.9114.114.9-0.83
Lou Williams25240.250.250.00-0.041001014.115.4-1.3415.214.01.21
John Collins68680.250.25-0.010.1637-415.115.00.1614.314.20.13
Delon Wright28280.240.26-0.01-0.0291814.415.3-0.9114.914.10.83
Bogdan Bogdanovic47470.110.39-0.280.11010-1015.914.41.5114.813.80.95
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot110.010.49-0.470.01010-100.015.2-15.235.014.4-9.40
Gorgui Dieng17150.000.50-0.490.06-212-1412.815.5-2.7314.914.20.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 86, IND 1020.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
CHA 88, MIL 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,195.5%
PHX 91, SAS 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%