NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	114		Excitement	7.7 [316]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (BKN): +61.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	17.3 [78]		LVP	Danny Green (PHI): -8.6%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.61	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.61	0.21	0.42	0.01	12	85%	0.61	0	0.00	3	100%	0.09
Patty Mills	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.07	-0.00	5	110%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	17	53%	0.06	5	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
James Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.11,-0.06	0.09	-0.14	0.02	20	58%	-0.01	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.08
Nic Claxton	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	14	47%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.04	0.01	12	88%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.07	-0.04	17	44%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.02	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	15	53%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.12	0.00	20	57%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.08	0.03	6	50%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.3	31.9	14.8	24.7	2.7	40.3	140.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -5.9%

BKN +45.5%

BKN +25.4%

PHI -11.1%

PHI -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	PHI	NBA	BKN	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	14.5	116.3	111.2	110.8
season	14.4	15.2		112.8	112.4
opponent	14.6	14.5		109.8	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.8	15.3	14.9	13.7	14.7
PHI	13.0	13.5	17.1	15.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	62	62	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.29	21	-16	37	14.0	15.8	-1.83	14.8	14.5	0.34
LaMarcus Aldridge	43	46	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.27	21	-16	37	13.9	15.3	-1.32	16.0	13.6	2.46
Kevin Durant	75	76	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.37	11	-6	17	13.9	17.0	-3.10	14.9	14.0	0.98
Jevon Carter	45	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-4	13	14.6	14.8	-0.22	16.3	13.4	2.91
James Harden	80	80	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.46	-1	6	-7	14.8	14.2	0.62	14.2	16.9	-2.66
Joe Harris	71	70	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	8	-11	14.6	14.9	-0.35	13.9	16.7	-2.85
James Johnson	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	18.3	14.4	3.89	13.0	14.8	-1.83
Blake Griffin	42	41	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.03	-7	12	-19	14.7	14.7	-0.01	13.5	15.6	-2.02
Paul Millsap	30	30	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.09	-7	12	-19	16.0	14.1	1.91	16.1	14.1	2.05
Nic Claxton	35	34	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.16	-19	24	-43	16.6	13.6	2.95	13.4	15.4	-1.95

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	25	28	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.13	7	-12	19	15.2	14.6	0.60	15.4	14.4	1.01
Andre Drummond	37	35	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.29	-1	-4	3	14.9	14.6	0.33	15.1	14.5	0.60
Furkan Korkmaz	41	41	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.07	4	-9	13	14.3	15.0	-0.77	15.7	13.9	1.74
Matisse Thybulle	49	50	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.22	-1	-4	3	13.7	15.8	-2.08	14.9	14.4	0.54
Isaiah Joe	7	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-5	5	11.1	15.0	-3.85	17.4	14.4	2.94
Tyrese Maxey	76	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.35	-9	4	-13	14.8	14.5	0.33	14.3	15.8	-1.54
Seth Curry	72	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.51	-5	0	-5	15.3	13.1	2.23	14.3	15.7	-1.39
Tobias Harris	77	76	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.47	-8	3	-11	14.6	15.1	-0.55	14.3	16.1	-1.83
Danny Green	45	43	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.51	-8	3	-11	15.7	13.9	1.80	14.4	14.9	-0.45
Joel Embiid	61	63	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.65	-4	-1	-3	14.6	14.9	-0.33	14.5	15.1	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.73,0	93.3%
MIN 102, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.77,0.63,0	92.4%
UTA 112, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.77,0.72,0	92.3%