NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	133		Excitement	12.4 [11]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +39.0%
Indiana Pacers	132		Comeback	18.2 [90]		LVP	Garrison Mathews (WAS): -9.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.32	0.10	0.02	31	68%	0.43	1	-0.04	11	82%	0.04
Russell Westbrook	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.05,0.26	-0.04	0.29	-0.00	26	54%	0.42	7	-0.16	9	89%	0.22
Daniel Gafford	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.01	3	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.07
Davis Bertans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Ish Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Hutchison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	13	48%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Garrison Mathews	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.01	6	86%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Edmond Sumner	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.10	0.02	8	68%	0.20	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.00	21	61%	0.23	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.03
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.12,-0.02,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.01	30	49%	0.17	5	-0.16	11	73%	-0.09
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	10	52%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelan Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	27.7	15.0	31.2	2.7	33.0	2.6	13.0	151.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -66.0%

WAS +64.7%

WAS +45.1%

IND -6.8%

WAS +13.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	12.8	13.3	14.4	109.0	108.2	111.3
season	13.3	13.6		109.9	111.5
opponent	14.4	14.1		111.2	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	12.9	13.4	10.5	12.9	18.8	12.8
IND	13.7	11.1	11.3	16.5	18.8	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	30	31	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.65	12	-11	23	14.3	12.3	2.01	18.0	11.7	6.24
Davis Bertans	74	77	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.38	17	-16	33	12.9	12.6	0.32	14.2	11.7	2.50
Rui Hachimura	78	77	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.55	3	-2	5	13.3	11.7	1.57	13.7	12.7	1.02
Russell Westbrook	102	100	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.50	4	-3	7	12.7	13.0	-0.35	13.3	13.2	0.10
Bradley Beal	96	96	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-7	15	11.9	15.8	-3.88	13.0	14.4	-1.36
Chandler Hutchison	24	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-4	9	14.6	12.3	2.33	13.2	13.4	-0.19
Alex Len	51	50	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	10	-19	12.5	13.0	-0.52	12.0	14.2	-2.22
Robin Lopez	41	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.15	-2	3	-5	12.0	13.1	-1.10	11.4	14.3	-2.89
Garrison Mathews	8	7	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.00	-8	9	-17	12.7	12.8	-0.00	9.0	13.6	-4.57
Raul Neto	53	54	-0.54	1.04	-1.57	-0.21	-11	12	-23	11.9	13.4	-1.47	11.8	14.5	-2.69
Ish Smith	45	44	-0.64	1.14	-1.78	-0.20	-15	16	-31	12.4	13.0	-0.60	13.2	13.3	-0.10

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	48	49	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.38	-4	3	-7	13.5	13.2	0.35	13.4	12.3	1.09
Aaron Holiday	42	44	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.14	2	-3	5	13.4	13.3	0.07	12.7	12.8	-0.04
Oshae Brissett	59	59	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.28	10	-11	21	12.4	14.2	-1.75	12.4	13.1	-0.74
T.J. McConnell	52	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	4	-9	13.8	13.0	0.80	13.3	12.4	0.86
Goga Bitadze	34	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	6	-13	13.7	13.2	0.51	14.2	12.2	1.92
Kelan Martin	32	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	5	-11	14.9	12.8	2.12	14.1	12.3	1.82
Doug McDermott	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.52	5	-6	11	12.0	15.0	-3.01	11.8	13.9	-2.10
Edmond Sumner	71	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.50	1	-2	3	12.8	14.0	-1.25	12.4	13.3	-0.86
Caris LeVert	96	95	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.63	3	-4	7	13.7	12.0	1.72	12.3	14.5	-2.22
Domantas Sabonis	101	100	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.51	-3	2	-5	13.4	13.1	0.26	12.4	14.4	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.54,0.68,0.85,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.67,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 116, WAS 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.49,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.71,0.55,0.78,0.74,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.86,0.73,0	90.9%
PHI 108, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.42,0	89.3%
LAL 112, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.88,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.33,0.59,0	88.4%