NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	126		Excitement	6.8 [418]		MVP	Caris LeVert (IND): +28.4%
Indiana Pacers	133		Comeback	1.1 [411]		LVP	Clint Capela (ATL): -6.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.11	0.01	15	71%	0.28	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.17	0.21	-0.01	0.03	18	78%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.06	0.01	19	65%	0.11	4	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Onyeka Okongwu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.05	-0.06	-0.00	12	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Kevin Huerter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	5	70%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.24,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.17	0.00	20	69%	0.37	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.21	0.08	0.00	14	91%	0.36	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.02	4	90%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.07	-0.01	12	76%	0.17	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Kelan Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	24.5	14.8	29.0	1.8	31.3	128.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +55.9%

ATL -1.4%

IND +10.5%

ATL -15.8%

IND +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	13.4	14.4	120.0	129.1	111.3
season	14.7	13.6		112.8	111.5
opponent	14.4	14.5		111.2	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.5	15.1	12.0	14.6	14.2
IND	11.2	13.7	14.8	14.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	63	64	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.17	7	-14	21	14.4	13.9	0.52	14.2	12.2	2.00
Kevin Huerter	61	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-11	15	14.9	13.4	1.47	13.8	12.9	0.99
Solomon Hill	16	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-3	-1	17.0	13.7	3.26	10.9	14.0	-3.10
Lou Williams	35	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-1	-5	15.4	13.7	1.74	12.2	14.0	-1.86
Onyeka Okongwu	16	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	1	-9	14.3	14.2	0.09	10.7	14.0	-3.27
Tony Snell	41	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	1	-9	13.2	14.9	-1.67	13.0	13.7	-0.75
Bogdan Bogdanovic	85	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-8	9	14.0	15.1	-1.06	14.1	10.9	3.25
Danilo Gallinari	64	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	1	-9	14.6	13.7	0.95	12.3	15.1	-2.78
Clint Capela	67	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	13.7	15.2	-1.57	14.5	11.8	2.66
Trae Young	77	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	1	-9	13.4	16.5	-3.08	13.8	12.4	1.36

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	90	93	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-6	19	13.5	12.8	0.78	13.8	17.3	-3.49
Aaron Holiday	68	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-2	11	13.2	13.9	-0.75	13.9	15.0	-1.10
Caris LeVert	88	89	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	5	-3	13.5	13.2	0.29	13.9	16.3	-2.45
Justin Holiday	50	50	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	3	1	12.9	14.0	-1.06	14.7	13.8	0.88
Oshae Brissett	52	52	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	3	1	13.5	13.4	0.07	13.4	15.0	-1.61
T.J. McConnell	52	55	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	1	5	13.3	13.6	-0.32	15.2	13.2	2.02
Doug McDermott	62	63	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	3	1	13.7	13.0	0.74	14.1	14.4	-0.28
Goga Bitadze	29	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	10	-13	14.1	13.2	0.96	16.1	13.5	2.60
Kelan Martin	24	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	11	-15	13.5	13.4	0.02	14.9	14.0	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.64,0.83,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 98, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.99,1	93.4%
ORL 84, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.83,1,1	93.4%
TOR 114, UTA 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.64,0.77,0.92,1	93.4%