NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	117		Excitement	7.4 [353]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (ATL): +28.7%
Atlanta Hawks	129		Comeback	1.1 [891]		LVP	Caris LeVert (IND): -7.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.16	0.09	0.01	10	90%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	10	58%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Malcolm Brogdon	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.04	18	72%	0.24	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	14	64%	0.15	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	9	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	37%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Caris LeVert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	41%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.12	0.01	12	85%	0.35	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.07	0.01	18	64%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	17	58%	0.15	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.04
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	21	61%	0.16	2	-0.04	14	93%	0.04
John Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	67%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	36%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	0.01	6	33%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	24.6	15.4	30.0	2.5	31.6	132.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +5.6%

ATL +10.6%

ATL +21.5%

ATL +11.4%

ATL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.0	14.4	110.4	122.9	111.3
season	13.6	14.7		111.5	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		111.4	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	13.5	11.2	13.5	13.3
ATL	11.8	14.8	15.6	14.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Holiday	28	29	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.11	13	-25	38	14.0	13.0	0.95	16.1	13.2	2.85
Edmond Sumner	58	58	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.33	17	-29	46	13.3	13.2	0.03	15.7	11.9	3.81
Jeremy Lamb	38	39	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.15	10	-22	32	13.7	13.0	0.61	14.1	14.0	0.14
T.J. McConnell	79	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-14	16	13.2	13.4	-0.19	14.7	12.3	2.39
Justin Holiday	53	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	1	-14	12.5	14.0	-1.51	13.4	14.6	-1.22
Myles Turner	76	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-1	-10	13.0	13.9	-0.89	14.1	13.9	0.24
Caris LeVert	55	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.03	-19	7	-26	13.6	12.9	0.77	12.1	16.2	-4.14
Malcolm Brogdon	70	68	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	0.05	-28	16	-44	13.1	13.6	-0.57	13.9	14.4	-0.48
Domantas Sabonis	73	73	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	0.06	-31	19	-50	13.5	12.6	0.91	13.2	16.1	-2.91

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	89	92	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.10	27	-15	42	13.5	16.9	-3.42	13.6	10.9	2.77
Clint Capela	77	78	0.69	-0.19	0.89	-0.04	25	-13	38	13.8	14.6	-0.78	13.5	12.6	0.89
Trae Young	79	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-2	16	14.2	13.5	0.77	12.6	15.1	-2.53
John Collins	47	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	2	8	14.5	13.7	0.86	13.4	13.2	0.25
Bogdan Bogdanovic	82	83	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	2	8	14.3	13.0	1.33	12.6	15.7	-3.05
Solomon Hill	64	64	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	8	-4	13.8	14.4	-0.62	13.4	13.0	0.40
Brandon Goodwin	26	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	14	-16	13.5	14.2	-0.77	15.1	12.6	2.53
Onyeka Okongwu	17	17	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.18	-13	25	-38	14.3	14.0	0.31	11.6	13.6	-2.00
Lou Williams	44	43	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.18	-15	27	-42	14.7	13.6	1.07	13.6	13.0	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.64,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.63,0.83,0.66,0.54,0.62,0.88,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, HOU 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.77,0.9,0.99,1	91.1%
WAS 105, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.4,0.39,0.79,0.78,0.93,1	90.9%
WAS 92, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.84,0.96,1	90.8%