NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	108		Excitement	6.5 [474]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +26.8%
Atlanta Hawks	120		Comeback	5.4 [297]		LVP	Tomas Satoransky (CHI): -14.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.27	0,0,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.29	-0.00	0.02	31	71%	0.33	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Coby White	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.01	0.12	-0.02	11	46%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Daniel Theis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	19	66%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.17	0.02	16	56%	0.26	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.07	0.03	12	81%	0.25	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.04	0.05	25	66%	0.26	4	-0.11	14	79%	-0.02
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	26.2	14.8	25.3	2.4	29.6	123.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +23.8%

ATL +8.2%

ATL +8.1%

ATL +12.4%

CHI -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.5	14.4	108.0	121.2	111.3
season	14.5	14.7		109.9	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.3		111.4	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.4	14.6	15.6	13.2	14.4
ATL	13.3	15.4	13.2	16.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	27	25	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-14	16	13.3	14.9	-1.58	14.4	14.5	-0.07
Tomas Satoransky	70	70	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-12	12	14.5	14.4	0.07	14.2	15.3	-1.15
Zach LaVine	82	81	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-9	6	14.1	16.1	-1.96	14.6	13.9	0.67
Troy Brown Jr.	31	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-11	10	15.0	14.2	0.80	13.8	14.8	-0.95
Thaddeus Young	46	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-5	-2	15.7	13.4	2.27	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Patrick Williams	51	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-2	-8	14.6	14.2	0.40	15.0	13.9	1.05
Lauri Markkanen	58	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	0	-12	13.9	15.1	-1.19	14.6	14.4	0.24
Nikola Vucevic	73	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	2	-16	14.9	13.3	1.58	14.5	14.4	0.07
Coby White	62	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	3	-18	14.0	15.2	-1.14	14.6	14.3	0.29

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	77	78	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.27	20	-8	28	14.3	15.1	-0.77	14.8	13.1	1.74
Bogdan Bogdanovic	71	70	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-5	22	14.3	14.9	-0.55	15.0	13.1	1.93
Danilo Gallinari	64	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-1	14	14.6	14.3	0.28	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Kevin Huerter	69	71	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-2	16	14.7	14.0	0.76	14.5	14.2	0.34
Clint Capela	77	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	0	12	14.5	14.3	0.23	14.7	13.5	1.26
Tony Snell	33	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	9	-6	13.3	15.1	-1.74	14.5	14.4	0.14
Onyeka Okongwu	22	23	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	12	-12	14.3	14.5	-0.23	13.5	14.7	-1.26
Lou Williams	37	37	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	20	-28	15.4	14.0	1.37	13.0	15.3	-2.30
Solomon Hill	45	47	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.08	-11	23	-34	14.7	14.3	0.36	14.3	14.6	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.4,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.41,0.66,0.86,0.98,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 114, ORL 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.61,0.61,0.89,0.99,1,1	91.9%
GSW 108, NOH 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.54,0.66,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.92,1	91.7%
IND 91, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.54,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	91.5%