NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	7.7 [303]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (ORL): +16.2%
LA Clippers	96		Comeback	35.2 [21]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (LAC): -20.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	10	57%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	4	110%	0.24	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Mo Bamba	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Terrence Ross	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.05	0.02	12	47%	0.05	0	0.00	8	100%	0.08
Michael Carter-Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.05	-0.05	0.10	0.00	10	33%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	0.02
Chuma Okeke	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.01	11	72%	0.08	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
R.J. Hampton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwayne Bacon	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chasson Randle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19	-0.06	-0.15	-0.01	8	29%	-0.13	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	10	70%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.04	16	50%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.07	-0.03	12	35%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.1,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.08	0.01	20	61%	0.16	3	-0.17	6	100%	0.04
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.12	-0.05	18	42%	-0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	24.2	15.5	25.7	1.8	36.5	129.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -25.4%

ORL +28.9%

ORL +20.9%

ORL +30.6%

LAC -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	15.5	14.4	106.2	100.0	111.3
season	14.9	14.9		103.9	116.6
opponent	14.7	14.0		110.9	113.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.2	17.1	12.7	11.8	14.3
LAC	13.8	16.3	15.6	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chuma Okeke	61	60	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.40	15	-8	23	13.2	16.3	-3.17	15.0	16.3	-1.32
Michael Carter-Williams	68	68	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.36	15	-8	23	13.1	17.2	-4.14	15.9	14.5	1.43
Wendell Carter Jr.	36	35	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-1	9	14.2	14.4	-0.23	15.7	15.4	0.32
James Ennis III	58	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.45	2	5	-3	13.3	15.9	-2.65	15.9	14.9	1.00
Terrence Ross	49	50	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-5	17	15.3	13.4	1.95	16.2	14.8	1.44
Mo Bamba	36	36	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.09	7	0	7	14.4	14.3	0.12	15.6	15.4	0.21
Dwayne Bacon	44	42	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	5	-3	14.4	14.3	0.17	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Otto Porter Jr.	42	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	10	-13	14.5	14.2	0.24	14.9	16.0	-1.08
R.J. Hampton	26	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	10	-13	15.2	14.0	1.16	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Chasson Randle	29	28	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.07	-8	15	-23	17.2	13.1	4.14	14.5	15.9	-1.43
Khem Birch	36	36	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.03	-12	19	-31	15.9	13.4	2.51	15.3	15.6	-0.28

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	34	35	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.10	5	-12	17	16.5	15.0	1.53	15.9	13.5	2.46
Amir Coffey	36	37	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.12	4	-11	15	16.9	14.7	2.16	15.9	13.4	2.55
Luke Kennard	64	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-3	-1	15.3	15.9	-0.59	14.5	14.1	0.36
Terance Mann	60	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-4	1	15.0	16.4	-1.41	15.2	13.1	2.12
Ivica Zubac	73	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.35	-6	-1	-5	16.1	13.7	2.44	13.6	16.7	-3.03
Kawhi Leonard	71	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	0	-7	15.3	16.2	-0.88	14.1	14.9	-0.78
Reggie Jackson	70	70	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.34	-13	6	-19	15.5	15.6	-0.14	14.0	15.3	-1.38
Nicolas Batum	72	72	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.42	-11	4	-15	14.7	18.1	-3.43	13.3	17.4	-4.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.78,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 100, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.28,0	91.9%
GSW 94, UTA 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.58,0	91.4%
ATL 95, ORL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.28,0	91.2%