inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 102 Excitement8.8 [163] MVPTerry Rozier (CHA): +44.8%
Charlotte Hornets 105 Comeback2.7 [488] LVPLaMelo Ball (CHA): -18.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Stewart0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.080.130.003117%0.2000.0000%0.00
Jerami Grant0.130,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.130.050.110.032456%0.314-0.18989%0.04
Mason Plumlee0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.030.08-0.01482%0.175-0.10333%-0.03
Josh Jackson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.020.06-0.011045%0.101-0.0500%0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.03-0.02743%0.0500.0000%0.00
Rodney McGruder0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.030.00450%0.0400.0000%0.00
Delon Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.010.01462%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Saddiq Bey0.000,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,00.07-0.050.021158%0.0000.002100%0.01
Saben Lee0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sekou Doumbouya-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk-0.060,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.070.001150%0.081-0.1400%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00736%-0.061-0.0200%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.18,0.1,0.29,0.450.450.100.350.001455%0.4500.00367%0.02
P.J. Washington0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.31,0.310.310.110.200.001077%0.362-0.046100%0.07
Cody Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.05-0.01383%0.1100.0000%0.00
Devonte' Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.04-0.01744%0.0500.002100%0.01
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.020.021156%0.0300.005100%0.02
Miles Bridges0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Malik Monk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.011141%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00250%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Gordon Hayward0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.01-0.100.011545%-0.1000.008100%0.06
LaMelo Ball0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.15-0.04-0.011132%-0.055-0.1400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.326.615.324.62.535.2127.9
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET -40.7%
CHA +35.3%
CHA +23.2%
CHA +30.6%
CHA +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHANBADETCHANBA
this game16.113.914.4106.2109.4111.3
season15.014.2107.0109.4
opponent14.714.2111.8111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.815.313.917.616.1
CHA12.214.713.815.113.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dennis Smith Jr.43420.15-0.650.790.21-2-1-116.515.80.7614.613.41.22
Saben Lee760.06-0.560.63-0.054-71116.116.10.0520.513.57.03
Josh Jackson38370.02-0.520.540.08-2-1-116.915.61.3314.313.60.68
Wayne Ellington4242-0.05-0.450.390.03-30-316.515.80.6413.714.1-0.43
Rodney McGruder2018-0.10-0.400.29-0.05-2-1-116.516.00.5815.013.71.35
Sekou Doumbouya1213-0.14-0.360.230.04-63-915.416.2-0.7711.514.3-2.83
Mason Plumlee5150-0.17-0.330.17-0.11-2-1-115.816.4-0.6214.113.70.40
Svi Mykhailiuk5252-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.383-6915.916.4-0.5014.013.80.12
Isaiah Stewart4546-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.30-1-2116.415.80.6213.714.1-0.40
Jerami Grant6667-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.472-5716.016.2-0.2014.213.20.95
Saddiq Bey5859-0.520.02-0.54-0.49-1-2115.616.9-1.3313.614.3-0.68
Delon Wright4648-0.710.21-0.92-0.56-52-715.716.5-0.7612.515.3-2.85

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Rozier65630.65-0.150.800.5921113.415.0-1.6215.517.2-1.61
Gordon Hayward76760.61-0.110.720.494-1514.113.11.0215.817.3-1.59
LaMelo Ball62600.59-0.090.690.5030313.414.9-1.5615.916.4-0.47
Cody Zeller51510.58-0.080.650.4930315.012.72.3316.515.60.97
P.J. Washington62660.57-0.070.640.348-51313.913.9-0.0516.415.40.96
Devonte' Graham3435-0.030.53-0.57-0.0921114.913.41.5616.615.80.80
Bismack Biyombo2929-0.040.54-0.57-0.01-14-512.614.5-1.8415.216.5-1.27
Miles Bridges4845-0.110.61-0.730.00-47-1113.614.2-0.6016.016.2-0.13
Malik Monk3334-0.150.65-0.80-0.1812-114.813.41.4416.715.80.95
Cody Martin2021-0.170.67-0.83-0.08-36-913.114.1-1.0217.015.91.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.48,0.32,0.47,0.46,0.27,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 114, NYK 1200.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.72,191.7%
PHI 98, GSW 1040.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,191.6%
UTA 94, DAL 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.73,191.4%