NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	6.2 [507]		MVP	Onyeka Okongwu (ATL): +10.7%
Miami Heat	80		Comeback	2.2 [387]		LVP	Solomon Hill (ATL): -15.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.00	12	59%	0.16	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.06	-0.02	7	50%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.05	0.09	-0.05	12	62%	0.25	8	-0.17	5	80%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	5	110%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	13	55%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.05	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	12	37%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	1	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.05	11	54%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kendrick Nunn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	12	25%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	27.5	15.3	27.6	2.5	30.3	131.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +58.9%

ATL +8.1%

ATL +18.2%

MIA -35.6%

ATL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	17.5	15.4	14.4	106.8	92.0	111.3
season	14.7	14.6		112.8	109.3
opponent	14.9	14.5		110.4	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.2	18.3	20.2	15.4	17.5
MIA	16.5	12.2	16.6	16.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	41	40	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.20	16	-2	18	17.7	17.3	0.34	15.2	15.6	-0.46
Danilo Gallinari	45	45	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.06	20	-6	26	17.4	17.6	-0.25	15.3	15.5	-0.24
Trae Young	60	61	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	2	10	17.2	18.1	-0.92	16.1	13.8	2.31
Bogdan Bogdanovic	30	30	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	5	4	16.0	18.2	-2.24	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Clint Capela	56	55	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	10	-6	17.3	17.8	-0.48	15.5	15.3	0.13
Kevin Huerter	58	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	9	-4	18.2	16.0	2.24	15.4	15.4	0.04
Onyeka Okongwu	16	17	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	6	2	19.3	17.1	2.24	16.4	15.2	1.23
Rajon Rondo	28	26	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	12	-10	18.1	17.2	0.92	13.8	16.1	-2.31
John Collins	52	50	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	18	-22	17.4	17.6	-0.13	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Tony Snell	54	54	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	16	-18	17.1	18.0	-0.90	15.4	15.5	-0.14

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	43	43	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.05	3	-17	20	15.2	15.7	-0.47	17.6	17.4	0.16
Max Strus	14	12	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-14	14	12.6	16.0	-3.32	17.3	17.5	-0.17
Kendrick Nunn	65	66	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.09	-4	-10	6	15.7	14.7	0.93	17.3	18.1	-0.88
Goran Dragic	56	58	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-13	12	15.2	15.8	-0.59	17.0	18.3	-1.30
Precious Achiuwa	26	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-5	-4	16.7	14.9	1.75	16.7	17.8	-1.12
Bam Adebayo	61	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-9	4	14.9	16.7	-1.75	17.8	16.7	1.12
Duncan Robinson	54	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-6	-2	16.1	14.4	1.71	17.8	17.0	0.81
Gabe Vincent	31	30	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	-1	-12	15.8	15.2	0.59	18.3	17.0	1.30
Andre Iguodala	34	35	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.15	-15	1	-16	16.2	14.9	1.23	18.2	17.0	1.15
Tyler Herro	51	53	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.11	-18	4	-22	14.9	16.2	-1.26	16.9	18.3	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, BOS 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.24,0.37,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0	92.2%
DET 93, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.2%
IND 93, NYK 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	92.0%