NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	8.7 [175]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +65.4%
Charlotte Hornets	120		Comeback	1.7 [691]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (CHA): -17.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.42,0.38	0.14	0.25	0.00	18	66%	0.41	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malik Beasley	0.18	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18	0.22	0.02	0.06	21	74%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Edwards	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.06	-0.02	21	49%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	7	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06
Ricky Rubio	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	29%	-0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jaylen Nowell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	6	14%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.66,0.65	0.65	0.29	0.39	0.02	20	84%	0.81	4	-0.15	9	100%	0.05
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	8	94%	0.24	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
LaMelo Ball	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.04	-0.03	15	62%	0.10	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	7	36%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.02	-0.00	21	32%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	26.2	15.3	28.5	2.5	35.3	132.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +48.4%

CHA +18.7%

CHA +18.1%

MIN -33.5%

MIN -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHA	NBA	MIN	CHA	NBA
this game	14.8	12.7	14.4	107.5	116.5	111.3
season	14.1	14.2		108.7	109.4
opponent	14.7	14.0		111.8	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.8	15.4	15.5	13.7	14.8
CHA	11.4	12.8	14.5	12.5	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McLaughlin	51	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-1	-4	14.7	14.9	-0.19	12.9	12.6	0.36
Naz Reid	37	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-3	0	14.7	14.9	-0.15	12.0	13.1	-1.16
Jaden McDaniels	56	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-9	12	13.9	15.8	-1.89	12.1	13.4	-1.37
Jaylen Nowell	40	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-3	0	14.7	14.8	-0.08	12.2	13.0	-0.82
Jarred Vanderbilt	15	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	4	-14	15.1	14.7	0.39	13.9	12.5	1.33
Josh Okogie	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	1	-8	15.6	14.2	1.46	13.3	12.3	1.07
Malik Beasley	85	82	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-8	10	14.3	16.9	-2.56	12.2	14.8	-2.61
Karl-Anthony Towns	69	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-3	0	14.9	14.7	0.15	13.1	12.0	1.16
Ricky Rubio	59	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-6	6	15.2	14.3	0.87	12.9	12.5	0.43
Anthony Edwards	72	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	15.3	13.8	1.48	13.2	11.6	1.60

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	90	93	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.28	10	-4	14	12.3	15.7	-3.39	14.5	16.9	-2.42
LaMelo Ball	76	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-9	24	12.8	12.6	0.18	15.7	12.1	3.56
Cody Zeller	56	55	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-11	28	12.1	13.5	-1.48	15.7	13.9	1.81
Gordon Hayward	73	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	0	6	13.3	11.4	1.87	15.1	14.2	0.86
Miles Bridges	68	70	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	6	-6	12.5	13.3	-0.80	14.0	16.4	-2.40
Devonte' Graham	64	66	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	5	-4	12.2	13.5	-1.26	13.9	16.2	-2.29
Bismack Biyombo	45	48	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.40	-13	19	-32	14.1	11.7	2.42	14.6	15.0	-0.44
Malik Monk	43	44	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	12	-18	13.2	12.4	0.83	15.1	14.6	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.84,0.65,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 97, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.72,1	92.0%
NOH 113, MIL 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.52,0.5,0.34,0.53,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.98,0.78,0.95,1	91.6%
CHA 97, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.96,1	91.4%