NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	111		Excitement	8.0 [262]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAS): +37.4%
Houston Rockets	106		Comeback	1.7 [538]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (HOU): -25.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.37	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.38,0.37	0.15	0.22	-0.01	16	68%	0.46	1	-0.08	12	92%	0.14
Rudy Gay	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	8	70%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick White	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	-0.01	0.10	-0.05	14	50%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	10	41%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Vassell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	0.00	7	48%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
Jakob Poeltl	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.03	-0.01	6	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	13	38%	-0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.13	0.01	13	79%	0.35	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.00	7	93%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	0.00	19	57%	0.21	2	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.09	-0.02	11	50%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	0.01	12	50%	0.01	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.2,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.16	-0.09	0.00	14	30%	-0.15	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	28.2	14.4	28.4	2.4	39.5	139.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -12.2%

SAS +35.1%

SAS +5.2%

SAS +16.3%

SAS +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	HOU	NBA	SAS	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	13.5	14.4	109.9	102.9	111.3
season	14.6	14.1		109.8	106.2
opponent	14.0	14.2		113.9	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.7	14.3	15.3	17.1	14.8
HOU	13.4	12.4	14.7	13.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	59	58	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-6	17	15.4	13.9	1.47	14.6	12.0	2.60
Dejounte Murray	68	67	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.29	12	-7	19	15.2	13.8	1.36	13.8	12.9	0.87
DeMar DeRozan	80	83	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	-3	11	14.2	16.8	-2.52	13.2	14.5	-1.26
Rudy Gay	52	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	2	1	15.3	14.2	1.12	12.9	14.1	-1.16
Jakob Poeltl	63	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	-1	7	14.5	15.1	-0.59	13.7	13.1	0.60
Patty Mills	62	65	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	9	-13	14.9	14.5	0.41	12.7	14.9	-2.23
Keldon Johnson	55	56	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	2	1	14.2	15.5	-1.27	14.1	12.8	1.25
Drew Eubanks	32	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	9	-13	15.2	14.5	0.71	13.6	13.4	0.20
Devin Vassell	34	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.06	-10	15	-25	13.8	15.2	-1.42	12.6	14.0	-1.43

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sterling Brown	17	16	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-6	7	14.1	13.4	0.69	14.9	14.7	0.21
Jae'Sean Tate	50	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-1	-3	14.7	12.4	2.28	14.4	15.1	-0.72
DeMarcus Cousins	65	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-4	3	13.5	13.5	0.02	14.6	15.1	-0.50
David Nwaba	48	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-5	5	13.5	13.5	0.07	15.1	14.5	0.68
Eric Gordon	78	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-9	13	12.8	15.7	-2.90	15.2	13.5	1.66
Danuel House Jr.	54	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	13.0	14.0	-0.94	15.6	13.8	1.80
John Wall	66	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	5	-15	13.6	13.3	0.29	15.0	14.3	0.71
P.J. Tucker	66	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	1	-7	13.5	13.5	-0.00	13.9	16.2	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.45,0.55,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 107, TOR 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.32,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.54,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.14,0.02,0	91.8%
MIL 107, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.53,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.27,0	91.7%
LAL 113, LAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.28,0	91.7%