NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	116		Excitement	3.7 [940]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +12.6%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	1.1 [864]		LVP	Jerome Robinson (WAS): -7.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.29	0.00	0.16	18	77%	0.16	2	-0.03	17	94%	0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.00	-0.08	8	61%	0.09	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
John Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	4	100%	0.11	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	14	45%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Cam Reddish	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	7	39%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	10	24%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	6	56%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	18	59%	0.12	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.11	0.00	0.10	2	83%	0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cassius Winston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	26	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Rui Hachimura	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.02	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	7	6%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	32%	-0.02	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	30.6	14.8	31.5	2.4	32.5	138.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.8%

ATL +3.0%

WAS -1.1%

ATL +6.0%

ATL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	13.3	14.4	116.0	98.0	111.3
season	14.7	13.3		112.8	109.9
opponent	14.1	14.5		112.4	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	13.0	15.5	18.5	15.2
WAS	12.9	12.8	15.8	12.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	64	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	1	14	14.9	15.7	-0.83	14.0	12.2	1.84
Kevin Huerter	62	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.22	21	-5	26	15.0	15.5	-0.54	15.0	10.9	4.15
Trae Young	68	68	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	4	8	15.4	14.7	0.74	14.1	11.8	2.37
John Collins	60	61	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.18	17	-1	18	15.5	14.7	0.82	14.6	11.5	3.14
Cam Reddish	64	66	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	6	4	15.6	14.5	1.12	13.5	13.1	0.40
Solomon Hill	43	45	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	12	-8	14.6	15.6	-1.03	12.1	14.4	-2.28
Rajon Rondo	33	36	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	12	-8	14.3	15.6	-1.32	11.2	14.5	-3.32
De'Andre Hunter	27	28	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	9	-2	13.7	15.7	-1.99	13.6	13.3	0.31
Onyeka Okongwu	24	25	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	16	-16	15.5	15.1	0.35	11.0	14.1	-3.16
Danilo Gallinari	38	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	19	-22	15.3	15.1	0.16	12.7	13.7	-1.05
Tony Snell	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	21	-26	18.3	14.7	3.58	9.7	13.9	-4.21
Bruno Fernando	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	18.5	15.1	3.38	10.0	13.4	-3.41
Brandon Goodwin	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	18.5	15.1	3.38	8.0	13.5	-5.51

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cassius Winston	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	8.2	13.6	-5.41	16.5	15.1	1.36
Anthony Gill	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	8.2	13.6	-5.41	16.5	15.1	1.36
Moritz Wagner	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-21	26	12.5	13.5	-0.99	18.4	14.4	4.01
Raul Neto	43	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-15	14	13.3	13.4	-0.15	14.8	15.4	-0.61
Isaac Bonga	34	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-5	-6	11.9	14.0	-2.10	15.8	14.9	0.87
Garrison Mathews	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.26	3	-19	22	12.6	13.9	-1.25	15.4	15.1	0.31
Robin Lopez	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-9	2	14.5	12.5	1.97	13.8	16.2	-2.34
Alex Len	39	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-5	-6	12.8	13.7	-0.80	15.3	15.1	0.17
Davis Bertans	55	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-4	-8	11.8	15.1	-3.31	16.3	14.0	2.33
Rui Hachimura	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	-8	0	14.8	11.9	2.94	14.0	16.5	-2.51
Russell Westbrook	60	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-7	-2	13.3	13.4	-0.10	14.5	16.1	-1.62
Jerome Robinson	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-4	-8	14.2	12.5	1.74	15.4	15.0	0.42
Bradley Beal	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	1	-18	14.7	11.1	3.67	15.2	15.2	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
ATL 125, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
PHI 101, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%