NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	5.9 [561]		MVP	Clint Capela (ATL): +11.7%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	1.4 [968]		LVP	Malik Beasley (MIN): -10.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.01	0.06	22	63%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Josh Okogie	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Jaden McDaniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	16	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Beasley	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	17	43%	-0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	16	66%	0.20	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.01	8	83%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	15	68%	0.19	6	-0.16	7	86%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	0.05	8	69%	0.09	6	-0.16	13	92%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	10	10%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.3	30.5	14.6	27.2	2.5	32.3	133.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +37.9%

ATL +15.3%

ATL +10.3%

MIN -17.2%

ATL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ATL	NBA	MIN	ATL	NBA
this game	13.1	14.2	14.4	91.5	102.9	111.3
season	14.1	14.7		108.7	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.0		111.4	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.6	11.4	13.3	14.5	13.1
ATL	13.6	11.8	14.9	17.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	30	30	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-14	17	13.1	13.1	0.08	15.8	13.6	2.15
Malik Beasley	75	75	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-16	21	12.5	14.5	-2.04	14.6	13.4	1.21
Jaden McDaniels	29	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-9	7	12.8	13.2	-0.39	12.9	14.8	-1.86
Jarrett Culver	43	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-7	3	13.3	13.0	0.30	13.8	14.5	-0.74
Anthony Edwards	66	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-12	13	12.7	13.7	-0.96	15.0	12.9	2.12
D'Angelo Russell	70	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-8	5	12.6	14.0	-1.44	14.7	13.3	1.46
Josh Okogie	50	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	5	-21	13.2	13.0	0.20	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Jordan McLaughlin	40	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	4	-19	14.8	12.0	2.85	13.7	14.6	-0.89
Naz Reid	60	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	-4	-3	13.4	12.7	0.75	14.4	13.9	0.52
Jarred Vanderbilt	67	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	6	-23	13.2	12.9	0.24	13.4	15.6	-2.30

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	77	79	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.10	22	-11	33	13.9	15.0	-1.05	13.8	10.9	2.98
De'Andre Hunter	82	83	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-7	25	13.7	16.1	-2.38	12.9	13.8	-0.90
Kevin Huerter	89	89	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	4	3	14.2	14.6	-0.39	13.3	11.6	1.70
Brandon Goodwin	45	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	1	9	13.4	14.8	-1.45	12.4	13.6	-1.18
Trae Young	72	73	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	-1	13	13.8	15.1	-1.26	13.0	13.2	-0.24
Clint Capela	83	82	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	11	-11	15.3	10.2	5.06	13.0	13.2	-0.12
Tony Snell	27	28	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	10	-9	15.8	13.7	2.09	12.7	13.2	-0.54
Rajon Rondo	16	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	16	-21	14.3	14.2	0.10	13.6	13.0	0.57
Solomon Hill	34	36	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.11	-10	21	-31	14.4	14.2	0.18	12.3	13.5	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 75, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
LAL 101, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
ORL 89, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%