NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	8.1 [241]		MVP	Cameron Johnson (PHX): +24.3%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	1.2 [686]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -22.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.02	26	50%	0.19	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.03
Jalen Brunson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.00	8	67%	0.19	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	46%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
James Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	0.00	-0.09	-0.00	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.10	-0.00	8	50%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.12	-0.03	9	68%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.06	0.00	5	100%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	11	69%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.11	-0.01	9	54%	0.15	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.08	-0.01	9	40%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.00	6	29%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.24,-0.26,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	0.02	15	61%	0.05	8	-0.28	6	67%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	2.8	29.2	15.6	30.2	2.5	32.5	143.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +49.8%

DAL -3.2%

PHX +19.3%

DAL -18.1%

PHX +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.4	13.5	14.4	98.1	103.9	111.3
season	15.0	14.7		114.3	115.3
opponent	14.7	14.4		109.6	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.6	15.5	15.9	14.0	14.4
PHX	12.2	11.6	15.4	15.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	13	12	0.49	-0.99	1.49	0.08	14	-18	32	13.3	14.6	-1.25	15.6	13.3	2.31
James Johnson	32	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-6	8	13.5	14.8	-1.35	12.5	14.0	-1.53
Dorian Finney-Smith	81	76	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.35	11	-15	26	14.1	15.5	-1.38	13.5	13.8	-0.35
Dwight Powell	39	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-1	-2	14.6	14.3	0.38	12.9	13.9	-1.01
Josh Green	6	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	1	-6	18.3	14.2	4.17	10.3	13.8	-3.50
Trey Burke	42	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-3	2	14.5	14.4	0.08	13.3	13.7	-0.45
Tim Hardaway Jr.	58	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	0	-4	14.4	14.5	-0.09	13.9	13.1	0.80
Jalen Brunson	40	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-7	10	14.4	14.4	-0.05	13.4	13.7	-0.27
Luka Doncic	76	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	5	-14	14.7	13.6	1.04	13.9	12.7	1.20
Josh Richardson	76	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	5	-14	14.7	13.6	1.04	13.9	12.7	1.20
Maxi Kleber	57	57	-1.01	0.51	-1.53	-0.46	-19	15	-34	14.3	14.5	-0.19	13.8	13.3	0.51

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Johnson	53	54	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.41	9	-5	14	14.4	12.6	1.80	14.0	14.9	-0.88
Mikal Bridges	75	76	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.31	9	-5	14	13.9	12.7	1.20	14.7	13.6	1.04
Cameron Payne	44	40	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-10	24	14.2	13.0	1.19	15.4	13.8	1.58
Devin Booker	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-3	10	14.1	12.3	1.72	14.7	13.8	0.90
Jalen Smith	35	36	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	-2	8	12.4	14.2	-1.79	15.1	14.1	1.00
Damian Jones	15	14	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	2	0	15.7	13.2	2.56	13.9	14.5	-0.55
Deandre Ayton	52	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	8	-12	13.7	13.4	0.33	14.1	14.7	-0.65
Langston Galloway	19	18	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	2	0	13.4	13.6	-0.16	15.0	14.3	0.72
Jevon Carter	30	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	7	-10	12.3	14.1	-1.72	13.8	14.7	-0.90
Chris Paul	58	64	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.27	-10	14	-24	13.0	14.2	-1.19	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Jae Crowder	57	60	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.03	-12	16	-28	12.4	15.0	-2.68	14.2	14.6	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.74,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.67,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 74, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	92.3%
MIA 92, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.66,0.8,0.84,0.89,1,1	92.2%
NJN 103, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.83,0.65,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.96,1	91.8%