NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	3.9 [936]		MVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): +8.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	1.0 [852]		LVP	Devonte' Graham (CHA): -12.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Malik Monk	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	36%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Cody Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.11	0.12	-0.11	0.12	27	60%	-0.06	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Devonte' Graham	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	16	26%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.03	12	64%	0.11	3	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	9	80%	0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	70%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
John Henson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.09	-0.01	14	74%	0.16	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	24.7	15.3	26.4	2.4	39.5	134.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +56.6%

CHA -0.3%

CLE +15.5%

CHA -25.2%

CLE +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CLE	NBA	CHA	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	14.2	107.7	105.3	109.6
season	15.1	15.1		105.4	106.3
opponent	13.8	14.7		114.2	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.2	18.7	15.6	14.7	16.5
CLE	15.6	13.4	13.2	15.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Monk	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-4	6	18.8	15.9	2.94	15.7	14.2	1.55
Dwayne Bacon	22	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.31	10	-12	22	15.7	16.8	-1.09	16.0	14.1	1.95
Cody Martin	54	58	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.61	19	-21	40	15.6	17.8	-2.11	15.1	13.6	1.54
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-7	12	17.5	16.2	1.30	16.9	13.7	3.18
Marvin Williams	54	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.51	14	-16	30	15.5	17.9	-2.38	15.2	13.5	1.68
Cody Zeller	61	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-1	0	16.4	16.8	-0.44	13.4	17.1	-3.69
Miles Bridges	40	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.15	-21	19	-40	17.3	15.9	1.42	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Bismack Biyombo	35	35	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.28	-26	24	-50	17.5	15.9	1.64	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Devonte' Graham	73	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	8	-18	16.6	16.0	0.63	13.7	18.1	-4.33
Terry Rozier	73	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.44	-2	0	-2	16.2	17.6	-1.31	14.2	15.5	-1.32

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	73	68	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-8	18	14.0	16.1	-2.12	16.6	16.1	0.56
Collin Sexton	61	60	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.11	17	-15	32	13.3	16.6	-3.24	16.8	15.9	0.96
Cedi Osman	65	63	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-13	28	13.4	16.9	-3.45	16.6	16.4	0.16
Kevin Love	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-13	28	13.7	16.2	-2.43	16.6	16.2	0.46
Darius Garland	55	52	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	-4	10	14.9	14.0	0.92	16.8	16.1	0.66
Matthew Dellavedova	25	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	1	0	14.2	14.6	-0.47	17.7	16.1	1.63
Jordan Clarkson	49	46	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.60	-20	22	-42	15.7	13.2	2.45	15.1	17.9	-2.78
John Henson	21	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	8	-14	16.7	13.9	2.77	16.6	16.5	0.15
Larry Nance Jr.	31	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.38	-15	17	-32	15.8	13.9	1.93	15.8	16.8	-1.05
Kevin Porter Jr.	30	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.29	-13	15	-28	16.9	13.4	3.45	16.4	16.6	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
UTA 100, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
HOU 94, SEA 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%