inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 97 Excitement9.3 [148] MVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +23.8%
Milwaukee Bucks 98 Comeback2.4 [673] LVPMarcus Smart (BOS): -14.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.210.010.18-0.022146%0.2100.00475%0.00
Jayson Tatum0.130,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.060.080.011361%0.151-0.022100%0.01
Jaylen Brown0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.04-0.01983%0.213-0.1000%0.00
Kyrie Irving0.040,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.16,0.04-0.020.03-0.032741%0.0400.0000%0.00
Semi Ojeleye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.001246%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Theis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Guerschon Yabusele-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Terry Rozier-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.05-0.00825%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.140,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.040.01831%-0.073-0.0700%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.25,0.13,0.24,0.240.240.090.15-0.001962%0.414-0.181070%0.01
Malcolm Brogdon0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.15,0.150.150.030.10-0.011454%0.181-0.0300%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.020.004112%0.1200.0000%0.00
Khris Middleton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.110.11-0.070.190.011450%0.265-0.152100%0.01
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.04-0.01650%0.0700.0000%0.00
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00757%0.0500.0000%0.00
Sterling Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brook Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.001145%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Eric Bledsoe0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.110.07-0.01925%0.012-0.05250%-0.02
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.0030%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.13.224.415.827.23.532.2131.4
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +52.5%
MIL +14.7%
MIL +10.6%
BOS -47.2%
MIL +19.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMILNBABOSMILNBA
this game14.313.914.396.095.1109.3
season13.913.5109.9112.4
opponent14.314.7104.0106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS12.717.114.113.814.3
MIL13.514.213.614.513.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford7782-0.12-0.380.26-0.4712-132513.815.8-1.9514.113.11.05
Marcus Smart6668-0.15-0.350.20-0.429-101913.316.1-2.8114.313.11.20
Daniel Theis1312-0.16-0.340.190.11-98-1715.214.21.0613.214.0-0.87
Terry Rozier4141-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-43-715.913.22.6413.114.5-1.43
Guerschon Yabusele119-0.22-0.280.05-0.11-43-716.514.02.4113.014.0-1.02
Jayson Tatum7072-0.24-0.260.01-0.457-81514.114.7-0.5814.911.83.09
Kyrie Irving8789-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.455-61113.817.7-3.9614.112.81.33
Semi Ojeleye2424-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-1110-2117.013.53.5311.914.6-2.68
Marcus Morris6667-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.464-5913.515.8-2.2414.512.91.56
Jaylen Brown5051-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.09-1413-2715.213.41.8512.715.1-2.43

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malcolm Brogdon72700.65-0.150.810.486-51114.113.60.4114.314.4-0.16
Brook Lopez73700.490.010.480.4610114.512.71.7913.915.3-1.37
Ersan Ilyasova25270.400.100.310.0213-122511.114.8-3.7116.613.53.12
Tony Snell33330.250.250.000.057-61313.114.3-1.2816.113.42.65
Giannis Antetokounmpo81770.220.28-0.070.51-1011-2114.412.02.4013.716.4-2.71
George Hill44460.210.29-0.07-0.0810-91912.614.9-2.2615.213.61.55
Khris Middleton68650.150.35-0.210.41-910-1914.413.01.4113.416.0-2.63
Eric Bledsoe70660.100.40-0.290.54-1516-3114.812.12.6613.915.1-1.19
Sterling Brown20200.030.47-0.440.0010113.314.1-0.7213.914.4-0.51
Nikola Mirotic2931-0.010.51-0.51-0.0410113.514.1-0.6314.914.00.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.45,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 104, ORL 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.84,192.1%
DET 102, IND 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.45,0.57,191.2%
NJN 98, ATL 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.67,0.84,191.1%