inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 113 Excitement8.2 [285] MVPGary Harris (DEN): +43.9%
Portland Trail Blazers 112 Comeback1.1 [659] LVPEvan Turner (POR): -11.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0.440,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.440.110.330.012156%0.461-0.02683%-0.00
Monte Morris0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.140.110.008100%0.291-0.0400%0.00
Trey Lyles0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.04-0.01744%0.071-0.03450%-0.02
Malik Beasley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0.010,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01475%0.052-0.05475%-0.00
Torrey Craig-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.07-0.060.021665%0.093-0.112100%0.01
Mason Plumlee-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00337%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Nikola Jokic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.030.06-0.070.021260%-0.011-0.021100%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03-0.110.04-0.041330%0.122-0.15771%0.07

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ McCollum0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.13,0.210.210.160.080.032170%0.333-0.125100%0.05
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.170.020.02991%0.181-0.024100%0.02
Zach Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.05-0.01545%0.0700.001100%0.01
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.050.050.020.050.021549%0.071-0.02560%-0.07
Seth Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Meyers Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.030.01765%0.041-0.02367%-0.00
Nik Stauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00343%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.050.011647%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.01425%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.00233%-0.024-0.0920%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.527.214.527.62.843.2143.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +28.0%
DEN +15.7%
DEN +1.0%
POR -7.4%
DEN +12.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPORNBADENPORNBA
this game15.314.914.3118.9116.7109.3
season14.814.9112.0112.6
opponent13.914.6109.4108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.813.014.219.115.3
POR15.513.714.116.914.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap71720.63-0.130.770.437-61315.614.21.3614.914.80.14
Jamal Murray72740.54-0.040.580.376-51114.617.3-2.7514.616.0-1.49
Gary Harris71720.420.080.340.4201-115.714.01.6314.815.0-0.19
Monte Morris56570.360.140.220.54-67-1316.213.92.3615.713.81.90
Nikola Jokic63630.330.170.160.272-1315.614.60.9614.615.4-0.81
Juancho Hernangomez59580.270.230.040.019-81714.915.8-0.8714.415.6-1.22
Mason Plumlee3031-0.000.50-0.500.20-78-1514.915.4-0.4814.914.90.01
Trey Lyles2625-0.000.50-0.50-0.0001-113.915.8-1.8516.014.51.44
Torrey Craig12-0.030.53-0.560.03-23-522.015.26.815.515.1-9.60
Malik Beasley2727-0.090.59-0.680.08-67-1314.715.5-0.8315.414.70.66

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Harkless29290.03-0.530.550.030-1114.615.0-0.4915.015.4-0.38
Seth Curry3433-0.02-0.480.46-0.144-5915.614.51.1214.215.8-1.61
Meyers Leonard5454-0.05-0.450.39-0.02-10-114.914.9-0.0214.216.7-2.54
Nik Stauskas2019-0.05-0.450.39-0.081-2315.014.90.1914.215.5-1.32
Zach Collins2423-0.17-0.330.150.06-87-1516.714.32.4213.016.0-2.93
Al-Farouq Aminu5454-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.445-61115.414.31.0816.713.43.25
CJ McCollum7574-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.484-5914.616.0-1.4115.912.93.03
Evan Turner5252-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.30-65-1115.314.50.8115.415.10.35
Jusuf Nurkic5858-0.510.01-0.53-0.510-1114.016.2-2.1815.714.51.23
Damian Lillard8079-0.580.08-0.66-0.46-43-714.516.9-2.4515.414.60.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.15,0.19,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 93, NYK 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.08,093.0%
UTA 110, BOS 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.05,0.01,0,0,092.9%
UTA 120, SAS 1110.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.01,092.8%