NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	8.3 [265]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +24.7%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	1.1 [1084]		LVP	Trey Burke (NYK): -14.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.25	0.06	0.17	-0.01	15	67%	0.34	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.06
Marcus Morris	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.09	-0.02	12	53%	0.17	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Terry Rozier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	5	77%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.08	-0.01	16	41%	0.09	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.04
Semi Ojeleye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03
Al Horford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Jaylen Brown	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.03	21	53%	0.19	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,0.08	0.08	-0.05	0.11	-0.01	4	50%	0.18	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.02
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	60%	0.10	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.04	0.03	15	57%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	7	36%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.13	-0.01	12	41%	-0.12	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	2.4	23.8	15.4	31.4	1.7	38.0	144.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -7.6%

BOS +40.5%

BOS +10.4%

BOS +7.2%

NYK -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	13.4	14.6	14.3	100.0	98.1	109.3
season	13.9	14.5		109.9	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.7		112.5	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.0	13.8	11.1	16.1	13.4
NYK	14.2	14.4	14.1	15.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	76	77	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.41	19	-17	36	12.9	14.7	-1.73	14.8	14.0	0.77
Marcus Smart	61	63	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.56	7	-5	12	12.8	14.2	-1.35	14.5	14.7	-0.29
Jaylen Brown	82	82	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	1	0	13.3	13.7	-0.41	14.3	15.5	-1.13
Aron Baynes	26	27	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	-13	28	11.3	14.1	-2.78	14.7	14.5	0.23
Al Horford	49	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	1	0	13.5	13.3	0.15	15.5	13.8	1.71
Daniel Theis	31	30	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	7	-12	14.8	12.8	2.03	14.1	14.8	-0.62
Terry Rozier	49	49	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	2	-2	14.0	12.8	1.21	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Semi Ojeleye	4	5	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	1	0	17.7	13.2	4.54	16.4	14.5	1.92
Guerschon Yabusele	15	14	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	1	0	10.9	13.8	-2.87	12.1	15.0	-2.81
Kyrie Irving	69	68	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.27	-13	15	-28	13.2	13.8	-0.61	14.7	14.3	0.35
Marcus Morris	53	51	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.13	-17	19	-36	15.0	11.7	3.24	14.7	14.5	0.22

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Robinson	18	18	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-6	10	16.3	14.2	2.07	14.3	13.2	1.15
Mario Hezonja	22	22	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-7	12	13.4	14.9	-1.48	14.0	13.2	0.78
Damyean Dotson	47	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-9	16	14.7	14.5	0.16	13.3	13.5	-0.14
Kevin Knox	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-2	2	11.8	14.8	-3.06	15.1	13.2	1.89
Trey Burke	64	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-5	8	14.8	14.3	0.51	13.6	13.1	0.53
Ron Baker	28	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	0	-2	14.6	14.5	0.10	12.1	13.8	-1.73
Noah Vonleh	46	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.44	7	-9	16	14.8	14.4	0.38	13.3	13.5	-0.24
Lance Thomas	41	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	6	-14	14.0	15.0	-0.95	11.9	14.3	-2.32
Enes Kanter	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	4	-10	14.9	14.0	0.87	13.8	12.6	1.20
Allonzo Trier	51	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.50	4	-6	10	14.9	14.2	0.65	14.7	12.0	2.75
Tim Hardaway Jr.	80	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	0	-2	14.3	15.5	-1.17	13.3	13.6	-0.23
Frank Ntilikina	44	43	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.07	-22	20	-42	14.5	14.6	-0.05	12.1	14.3	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.45,0.17,0.1,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 67, MIA 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.15,0	91.3%
PHI 96, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.33,0.26,0.04,0.05,0.02,0	91.3%
NJN 85, ATL 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.33,0.28,0	91.3%